AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 21, 2024
Last updated: Jul 31, 2024, 1:15AM | Published: Jul 30, 2024, 2:15PM
Looking for data-driven AFL tips for Round 21? We have AFL Round 21 tips 2024 for every game this week.
Get an edge in your AFL tipping leagues thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 21 of the 2024 AFL season, which are the result of simulating each AFL game thousands of times.
As we enter the concluding weekends of the 2024 AFL season, these expert tips are becoming even more important. Utilise our model's Round 21 AFL tips to give yourself a chance of securing the best possible finish in this year's footy tipping.
AFL Round 21 Expert Tips 2024
Round 21 of the AFL season features nine games, beginning with the Bulldogs vs Melbourne on Friday and finishing with Port Adelaide vs Sydney on Saturday.
Our AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 21 2024 a go-to resource for AFL tipsters across the country.
AFL Tips Round 21 2024: Who Will Win
Detailed below are our predictions for every AFL game in Round 21, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne
Round 21 action kicks off with the Western Bulldogs taking on Melbourne at Marvel Stadium on Friday. Our model projects the Western Bulldogs as having a 77% chance of winning, while Melbourne has a 23% projected win chance.
Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, August 2 at 7:15pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
West Coast vs Gold Coast
In this week's game between West Coast and Gold Coast, the Suns are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 76% chance for Gold Coast. On the other hand, West Coast has a 24% chance of pulling off an upset win.
West Coast vs Gold Coast is at Optus Stadium on Friday, August 2 at 8:30pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Tips
North Melbourne vs Richmond
We are tipping North Melbourne to win its game against Richmond this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 61% win probability for the Kangaroos. Richmond has a 39% chance of winning.
North Melbourne vs Richmond is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, August 3 at 1:45pm.
Geelong vs Adelaide
With a win probability of 79% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this match is Geelong, while its opponent, Adelaide, has a projected win chance of 21%.
Looking at the latest betting odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $1.37, with Adelaide available at $3.60.
Geelong vs Adelaide is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, August 3 at 4:35pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Collingwood vs Carlton
The Blues have a 66% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to Collingwood's 34% chance of victory. This makes Carlton the team to tip at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Collingwood vs Carlton is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 3 at 7:30pm.
GWS vs Hawthorn
GWS is favoured to win its game this week, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 59% chance, while Hawthorn enters the weekend with a 41% chance of securing a win at Giants Stadium.
GWS vs Hawthorn is at Giants Stadium on Sunday, August 4 at 1:10pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Essendon vs Fremantle
According to our predictive analytics model, Fremantle is the team to beat in this game, with the Dockers' win probability at 56%. Essendon, on the other hand, has a 44% chance of winning.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Bombers at $2.48 and the Dockers at $1.67.
Essendon vs Fremantle is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, August 4 at 3:20pm.
St Kilda vs Brisbane
We are tipping the Lions in this match, with Brisbane given a 56% chance of winning, while St Kilda has a 44% win probability.
St Kilda vs Brisbane is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, August 4 at 4:40pm.
Port Adelaide vs Sydney
The last game of Round 21 sees Port Adelaide take on Sydney at Adelaide Oval. The current Betfair odds list the Power at $2.02 and the Swans at $1.90.
We are tipping Sydney with a win probability of 51%, while Port Adelaide is projected to have a win chance of 49%.
Port Adelaide vs Sydney is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, August 3 at 7:30pm.
AFL Tipping Round 21 2024: Who to Tip
- Bulldogs
- Gold Coast
- North Melbourne
- Geelong
- Carlton
- GWS
- Fremantle
- Brisbane
- Sydney
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 21 Games to Tip On
- Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons
- West Coast Eagles vs Gold Coast Suns
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Richmond Tigers
- Geelong Cats vs Adelaide Crows
- Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues
- GWS Giants vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers
- St Kilda Saints vs Brisbane Lions
- Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans
The AFL footy tips Round 21 2024 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2024 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our tips for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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