AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 3, 2025
Mar 25, 2025, 1:15PM
Searching for help when it comes to your AFL tips for Round 3? We have AFL Round 3 tips 2025 for every game this week.
Gain an edge in AFL tipping leagues with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 3 of the 2025 AFL season, which are the result of simulating each AFL match thousands of times.
AFL Round 3 Expert Tips 2025
There are eight games in Round 3 of the 2025 AFL season, starting with Essendon vs Port Adelaide on Thursday and ending with West Coast vs Fremantle on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 3 2025 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters.
AFL Tips Round 3 2025: Who Will Win
Listed below are our predictions for each AFL clash in Round 3, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Essendon vs Port Adelaide
Round 3 action kicks off with Essendon facing Port Adelaide at Marvel Stadium on Thursday night. Our AFL model projects Port Adelaide as having a 51% chance of winning, while Essendon has a 49% win probability.
Essendon vs Western Bulldogs is at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, March 27 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT).
Carlton vs Western Bulldogs
In Friday night's game between Carlton and the Carlton, the Blues are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 57% chance for Carlton. On the other hand, the Western Bulldogs have a 43% chance of winning.
Carlton vs Western Bulldogs is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, March 28 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
Melbourne vs Gold Coast
We are tipping Gold Coast to win its game against Melbourne this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 55% win probability for the Suns. Melbourne has a 45% chance of winning at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Melbourne vs Gold Coast is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, March 29 at 1:20pm AEDT.
St Kilda vs Richmond
With a win probability of 81%, our tip for this match is St Kilda, while its opponent, Richmond, has a projected win chance of 19%.
St Kilda vs Richmond is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, March 29 at 4:15pm AEDT.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Hawthorn vs GWS
The Hawks have a 64% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to GWS' 36% chance of victory. This makes Hawthorn the team to tip at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs GWS is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, March 29 at 7:35pm AEDT.
Brisbane vs Geelong
Brisbane is favoured to win this one, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 64% chance, while Geelong enters the weekend with a 36% chance of causing an upset at The Gabba.
Brisbane vs Geelong is at The Gabba on Saturday, March 29 at 7:35pm AEDT.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Adelaide vs North Melbourne
According to our predictive analytics model, Adelaide is the team to beat in this game, with the Crows' win probability at 92%. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has an 8% chance of winning.
Adelaide vs North Melbourne is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, March 30 at 3:20pm AEDT.
West Coast vs Fremantle
We are tipping the Dockers in this game, with Fremantle given a 77% chance of winning, while West Coast has a 23% chance of an upset win.
West Coast vs Fremantle is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, March 30 at 6:10pm AEDT.
AFL Tipping Round 3 2025: Who to Tip
- Port Adelaide
- Carlton
- Gold Coast
- St Kilda
- Hawthorn
- Brisbane
- Adelaide
- Fremantle
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 3 Games to Tip On
- Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power
- Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs
- Melbourne Demons vs Gold Coast Suns
- St Kilda Saints vs Richmond Tigers
- Hawthorn Hawks vs GWS Giants
- Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats
- Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- West Coast Eagles vs Fremantle Dockers
AFL Round 3 Bye Teams: Who Has a Bye This Week
- Collingwood Magpies
- Sydney Swans
The AFL footy tips Round 3 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our tips for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
As well as being your expert resource for AFL footy tips, Stats Insider is your go-to site for AFL betting information, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL game, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL premiership odds.
