AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 4, 2025
Apr 1, 2025, 1:15PM
Searching for AFL tips for Round 4? We have AFL Round 4 tips 2025 for every game this weekend.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to give you an edge with AFL tipping for all the action in Round 4 of the 2025 season.
AFL Round 4 Expert Tips 2025
There are eight games in Round 4 of the 2025 AFL season, starting with Collingwood vs Carlton on Thursday and finishing with Fremantle vs Bulldogs on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 4 2025 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters across the country.
AFL Tips Round 4 2025: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 4, 2025, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Collingwood vs Carlton
Round 4 action kicks off with Collingwood playing Carlton at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday night. Our predictive analytics model projects Collingwood as having a 61% chance of winning, while Carlton has a 39% projected win chance.
Collingwood vs Carlton is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, April 3 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT).
Geelong vs Melbourne
In Friday night's game between Geelong and Melbourne, the Cats are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting an 85% chance for Geelong. Melbourne, on the other hand, has a 15% chance of winning.
Geelong vs Melbourne is at GMHBA Stadium on Friday, April 4 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
Gold Coast vs Adelaide
We are tipping Gold Coast to win its game against Adelaide this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 51% win probability for the Suns. Adelaide has a 49% chance of winning at Metricon Stadium.
Gold Coast vs Adelaide is at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, April 5 at 1:20pm AEDT.
Richmond vs Brisbane
With a win probability of 95%, our tip for this game is Brisbane, while its opponent, Richmond, has a low projected win chance of 5%.
Richmond vs Brisbane is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, April 5 at 4:15pm AEDT.
More: AFL Player Ratings
North Melbourne vs Sydney
The Swans have a 58% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to North Melbourne's 42% chance of victory. This makes Sydney the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.
North Melbourne vs Sydney is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, April 5 at 7:35pm AEDT.
GWS vs West Coast
GWS is favoured to win its game this week, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 97% chance, while West Coast enters the weekend with a 3% chance of causing an upset at Giants Stadium.
GWS vs West Coast is at Giants Stadium on Sunday, April 6 at 1:10pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda
According to our predictive analytics model, Port Adelaide is the team to beat in this game, with the Power's win probability at 64%. St Kilda, on the other hand, has a 36% chance of winning.
Port Adelaide vs St Kilda is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, April 6 at 3:20pm.
Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs
We are tipping the Dockers in this game, with Fremantle given a 58% chance of winning, while Western Bulldogs have a 42% win probability.
Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, April 6 at 5:10pm.
AFL Tipping Round 4 2025: Who to Tip
- Collingwood
- Geelong
- Gold Coast
- Brisbane
- Sydney
- GWS
- Port Adelaide
- Fremantle
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 4 Games to Tip On
- Collingwood Magpies vs Carlton Blues
- Geelong Cats vs Melbourne Demons
- Gold Coast Suns vs Adelaide Crows
- Richmond Tigers vs Brisbane Lions
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Sydney Swans
- GWS Giants vs West Coast Eagles
- Port Adelaide Power vs St Kilda Saints
- Fremantle Dockers vs Western Bulldogs
AFL Round 4 Bye Teams: Who Has a Bye This Week
- Essendon Bombers
- Hawthorn Hawks
The AFL footy tips Round 4 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our tips for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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