AFL Expert Tips and Predictions for Round 5, 2025
Apr 8, 2025, 2:15PM
Searching for an advantage when it comes to your AFL tips for Round 5? We have AFL Round 5 tips 2025 for every game this week.
Get the edge in your AFL tipping competitions with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 5 of the 2025 AFL season, which are the result of simulating each AFL game thousands of times.
AFL Round 5 Expert Tips 2025
Round 5 of the AFL season features nine games, beginning with Adelaide vs Geelong on Thursday and ending with Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 5 2025 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters.
AFL Tips Round 5 2025: Who Will Win
Listed below are our predictions for every AFL clash in Round 5, 2025, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Adelaide vs Geelong
Round 5 action kicks off with Adelaide facing Geelong at Adelaide Oval on Thursday. Our predictive analytics model projects Adelaide as having a 64% chance of winning, while Geelong has a 36% projected win chance.
Adelaide vs Geelong is at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, April 10 at 7:40pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Collingwood vs Sydney
In this week's game between Collingwood and Sydney, the Magpies are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 65% chance for Collingwood. Sydney, on the other hand, has a 35% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Collingwood vs Sydney is at Adelaide Oval on Friday, April 11 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2025 Tips
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast
We are tipping Gold Coast to win its game against North Melbourne this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 79% win probability for the Suns. North Melbourne has a 21% chance of winning at Barossa Park.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast is at Barossa Park on Saturday, April 12 at 12:35pm.
Carlton vs West Coast
With a win probability of 92%, our tip for this match is Carlton, while its opponent, West Coast, has a low projected win chance of 8%.
Carlton vs West Coast is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, April 12 at 1:20pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane
The Lions have a 66% chance of winning this week, compared to the Western Bulldogs' 34% chance of victory. This makes Brisbane the team to tip at Norwood Oval.
Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane is at Norwood Oval on Saturday, April 12 at 4:15pm.
Melbourne vs Essendon
Essendon is favoured to win this game, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 58% chance, while Melbourne enters the weekend with a 42% chance of locking in a win at Adelaide Oval.
Melbourne vs Essendon is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, April 12 at 7:35pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Richmond vs Fremantle
According to our predictive analytics model, Fremantle is the team to beat in this game, with the Dockers' win probability at 88%. Richmond, on the other hand, has a 12% chance of winning.
Richmond vs Fremantle is at Barossa Park on Sunday, April 13 at 12:35pm.
St Kilda vs GWS
We are tipping the Giants in this match, with GWS given an 80% chance of winning, while St Kilda has a 20% win probability.
St Kilda vs GWS is at Norwood Oval on Sunday, April 13 at 3:20pm.
Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn
The last game of Round 5 sees Port Adelaide take on Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval.
We are tipping Hawthorn with a win probability of 75%, while Port Adelaide is projected to have a win chance of 25%.
Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, April 13 at 7:20pm.
AFL Tipping Round 5 2025: Who to Tip
- Adelaide
- Collingwood
- Gold Coast
- Carlton
- Brisbane
- Essendon
- Fremantle
- GWS
- Hawthorn
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Round 5 Games to Tip On
- Adelaide Crows vs Geelong Cats
- Collingwood Magpies vs Sydney Swans
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns
- Carlton Blues vs West Coast Eagles
- Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane Lions
- Melbourne Demons vs Essendon Bombers
- Richmond Tigers vs Fremantle Dockers
- St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants
- Port Adelaide Power vs Hawthorn Hawks
The AFL footy tips Round 5 2025 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2025 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
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