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AFL Expert Tips, Best Bets and Odds: Grand Final, 2023

We have expert tips and best bets for the 2023 AFL Grand Final, all thanks to our powerful predictive analytics model.

After simulating Collingwood vs Brisbane thousands of times, we have determined the likelihood of each team winning the Premiership, as well as finding the best bets to make on the Betfair Exchange.

MORE: AFL Value Bets

AFL Grand Final Expert Tips and Predictions 2023

These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL Grand Final tips 2023 a go-to resource for AFL tipsters of every level.

Collingwood vs Brisbane

Collingwood takes on Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday as the two best sides in the AFL compete for the 2023 premiership. Our model projects Collingwood as having a 62% chance of winning, while Brisbane has a 38% projected win chance.

Collingwood vs Brisbane is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, September 30 at 3:30pm. 

AFL Betting Tips: Grand Final, 2023

The best AFL betting tips for this week’s Grand Final between Collingwood and Brisbane have been unveiled.

Led by Stats Insider's expert team of data analysts, we have used our reliable computer model to simulate the big game 10,000 times and find the best AFL Grand Final bets for punters across the country.

The odds below come from the Betfair Exchange. Join Betfair today to take advantage of our best AFL bets.

Each one of the recommended bets for the AFL season come directly from the popular AFL Value Bets page on Stats Insider.

Collingwood H2H vs Brisbane ($1.80)

  • Odds: $1.80 via Betfair

  • Fair Odds: $1.60

  • Edge: 6.9%

  • Probability: 62.4%

Our model has pinpointed the best AFL bet to make this week, as the Magpies take on the Lions in the 2023 Grand Final. We recommend placing a head-to-head bet on Collingwood to win, currently offered at odds of $1.80 at Betfair. We have found a significant edge of 6.9% for this particular wager, which makes it our best AFL Grand Final bet.


Collingwood -4.5 vs Brisbane ($1.96)

  • Odds: $1.96 via Betfair

  • Fair Odds: $1.80

  • Edge: 4.6%

  • Probability: 55.7%

Our model has uncovered another standout AFL bet for this week’s Grand Final between the Magpies and Lions. We recommend considering a wager on Collingwood -4.5, available at $1.96 odds through Betfair. We have found a compelling edge of 4.6% for this particular bet.


MORE: Collingwood vs Brisbane (Saturday, 3:30PM AEST)

Stats Insider's Grand Final Tips

The AFL Grand Final tips 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2023 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.

If you choose to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

As well as being your expert resource for AFL footy tips, Stats Insider is your home for AFL betting insights and analysis, with the latest AFL betting news,  tips for every AFL match, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL futures odds.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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