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AFL Expert Tips Finals Week 1, 2023

Searching for an advantage when it comes to your AFL finals tips? We have AFL Finals Week 1 tips for every match this week.

As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to assist with AFL tipping for all the action in the first week of finals of the 2023 season.

AFL Finals Week 1 Tips and Predictions 2023

There are four games across the first week of the finals of the 2023 AFL season, beginning with Collingwood vs Melbourne on Thursday and finishing with Brisbane vs Port Adelaide on Saturday.

Our 2023 AFL finals tips are based on unbiased data and analytics, making them a must-read resource for AFL tipsters.

Related: Predictions for Every AFL Finals Game

AFL Tips Finals Week 1 2023: Who Will Win?

Listed below are our predictions for every AFL game across the first week of the finals, based on 10,000 simulations per match.

Collingwood vs Melbourne

2023 Finals action in the AFL kicks off with Collingwood facing Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday. Our predictive analytics model projects Melbourne as having a 52% chance of winning, while Collingwood has a 48% projected win chance.

Collingwood vs Melbourne is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, September 7 at 7:20pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).

Carlton vs Sydney

In Friday night's game between Carlton and Sydney, the Blues are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 62% chance for Carlton. On the other hand, Sydney has a 38% chance of pulling off an upset win.

Carlton vs Sydney is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, September 8 at 7:50pm.

More: AFL Premiership 2023 Tips

St Kilda vs GWS

We are tipping GWS to win its game against St Kilda this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 58% win probability for the Giants. St Kilda has a 42% chance of winning.

St Kilda vs GWS is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, September 9 at 3:20pm.

Brisbane vs Port Adelaide

With a win probability of 68%, our tip for this game is Brisbane, while its opponent, Port Adelaide, has a projected win chance of 32%.

Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, Betfair currently has Brisbane at $1.52, with Port Adelaide available at $2.90.

Brisbane vs Port Adelaide is at The Gabba on Saturday, September 9 at 7:25pm.

More: AFL Player Ratings

AFL Finals Tipping: Who to Tip in Week 1, 2023

  • Melbourne
  • Carlton
  • GWS
  • Brisbane

AFL Finals Week 1 Games to Tip On

  • Collingwood Magpies vs Melbourne Demons
  • Carlton Blues vs Sydney Swans
  • St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants
  • Brisbane Lions vs Port Adelaide Power

The AFL finals tips 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2023 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.

If you decide to use our footy tips for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on the AFL

As well as being your expert resource for AFL footy tips, Stats Insider is your go-to site for AFL betting information, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL 2023 premiership probabilities.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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