AFL Expert Tips for Round 1, 2023
Last updated: Mar 19, 2023, 12:26PM | Published: Mar 15, 2023, 8:14AM
Need help with your AFL tips for Round 1 of the 2023 season?
Stats Insider is Australia's leading provider of advanced analytics, and we're here to lend a hand with AFL tips Round 1 2023.
If you're looking for AFL tips Round 1, our cutting-edge simulations can give you an edge this week.
At Stats Insider, we simulate each and every AFL game 10,000 times to help you decide who you should tip this weekend.
RELATED: Tips for Every AFL Game
AFL Footy Tips Round 1 2023
Richmond vs Carlton
Richmond is a 63% chance of getting the win at the MCG on Thursday night in the 2023 season opener, while Carlton is at 37%.
Richmond vs Carlton is at the MCG on Thursday, March 16 at 7:20pm AEDT.
Geelong vs Collingwood
Geelong is the slight favourite heading into Friday night's match, with the Cats having a 59% chance of winning while the Magpies have a 41% chance of beating the reigning premiers.
Geelong vs Collingwood is at the MCG on Friday, March 17 at 7:40pm AEDT.
North Melbourne vs West Coast
North Melbourne is the narrow favourite heading into this one, with the Kangaroos having a 56% probability of winning, compared to the Eagles, who sit at 44%.
North Melbourne vs West Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, March 18 at 1:45pm AEDT.
Port Adelaide vs Brisbane
Port Adelaide has a 56% chance of winning on Saturday, while Brisbane is the 44% outsider in the opening game of their season.
Port Adelaide vs Brisbane is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, March 18 at 4:35pm AEDT.
Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs
The Western Bulldogs enter Saturday night's game with a 47% likelihood of winning at the MCG, with Melbourne the 53% favourite to start its 2023 AFL season off with a win.
Melbourne vs the Western Bulldogs is at the MCG on Saturday, March 18 at 7:25pm AEDT.
Gold Coast vs Sydney
The Suns have a 45% chance of winning at home on Saturday night, while the Swans are the favourites with a 55% win probability.
Gold Coast vs Sydney at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, March 18 at 8:00pm AEDT.
GWS vs Adelaide
The GWS Giants have a 60% chance of winning their opening game of 2023, while Adelaide is the 40% outsider to win at Giants Stadium.
GWS vs Adelaide is at Giants Stadium on Sunday, March 19 at 1:10pm AEDT.
Hawthorn vs Bombers
Hawthorn has a 46% win probability heading into Sunday's game against the Bombers, with Essendon the 54% favourite to claim the victory.
Hawthorn vs Essendon is at the MCG on Sunday, March 19 at 3:20pm AEDT.
St Kilda vs Fremantle
In the last game of the round, St Kilda is the 37% outsider to win in Ross Lyon's first game back in charge of the Saints, while Fremantle has a 63% win probability coming up against its former coach.
St Kilda vs Fremantle is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, March 19 at 4:40pm AEDT.
AFL Tips Round 1 2023
- Richmond
- Geelong
- North Melbourne
- Port Adelaide
- Melbourne
- Sydney
- GWS Giants
- Essendon
- Fremantle
All AFL tips and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
