AFL Expert Tips for Round 11, 2022
Last updated: Jun 3, 2022, 10:21AM | Published: May 27, 2022, 5:42AM
Need some help with your AFL tips for Round 11?
Here a week late? We also have AFL expert tips for Round 12.
Stats Insider, Australia's leading provider of advanced analytics, is here to lend a hand with tips for every game in Round 11 of the 2022 AFL season.
If you're looking for AFL expert tips this weekend, our cutting-edge simulations can give you an edge in Round 11.
At Stats Insider, we simulate each and every AFL game 10,000 times to help you decide who you should tip this weekend.
RELATED: Tips for Every AFL Game
AFL Tipping for Round 11
Sydney vs Richmond
Sydney is a 57% chance of getting the win at the SCG on Friday night, as opposed to the Tigers at 43%.
Richmond and Sydney meet at the SCG on Friday, May 27 at 7:50pm AEST.
Brisbane vs GWS
Brisbane is one of many heavy favourites this week, with the Lions having a 90% probability of winning, whilst the Giants have a 10% probability.
Brisbane and GWS go head-to-head at the Gabba on Saturday, May 28 at 1:45pm AEST.
Geelong vs Adelaide
Geelong is the team to tip here, with the Cats a 92% chance of making it two wins in a row, whilst the Crows are just an 8% chance of causing an upset.
Geelong hosts Adelaide at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, May 28 at 1:45pm AEST.
Melbourne vs Fremantle
Melbourne has an 87% chance of going 11-0 on Saturday, with their opponents in Fremantle given a 13% chance of being the first team to defeat the reigning premiers this year.
Melbourne and Fremantle do battle at the MCG on Saturday, May 28 at 4:35pm AEST.
West Coast vs Western Bulldogs
The Western Bulldogs enter Saturday night's game with an 87% likelihood of winning, whereas West Coast has just a 13% likelihood.
West Coast hosts the Western Bulldogs at Optus Stadium on Saturday, May 28 at 7:30pm AEST.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn
In the tightest projected game of Round 11, Hawthorn is a 53% chance of winning, whilst betting favourites the Suns are a 47% chance of saluting.
Gold Coast takes on Hawthorn at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, May 28 at 7:40pm AEST.
St Kilda vs North Melbourne
The Saints have a massive 92% chance of winning their third straight game, whilst their opponents North Melbourne have just an 8% likelihood of pulling off an upset.
St Kilda and North Melbourne play at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, May 28 at 1:10pm AEST.
Collingwood vs Carlton
In one of the biggest rivalries in the AFL, Collingwood has a 43% chance of upsetting their top-four opponents, with the high-flying Carlton holding a 57% probability.
Collingwood and Carlton clash at the MCG on Sunday, May 29 at 3:20pm AEST.
Port Adelaide vs Essendon
In the last game of the round, Port Adelaide has a huge 89% chance of winning, whilst the struggling Essendon sits at an 11% likelihood.
Port Adelaide vs Essendon takes place at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, May 29 at 4:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's AFL Expert Tips for Round 11
- Sydney
- Brisbane
- Geelong
- Melbourne
- Western Bulldogs
- Hawthorn
- St Kilda
- Carlton
- Port Adelaide
All tips and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
