AFL Expert Tips for Round 11, 2023
Last updated: May 28, 2023, 8:06AM | Published: May 25, 2023, 11:51AM
Looking for a guide when it comes to your AFL tips for Round 11? We have AFL Round 11 tips 2023 for every game this week.
Gain an edge in your AFL tipping competitions thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 11 of the 2023 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL match 10,000 times.
AFL Round 11 Tips and Predictions 2023
There are nine games in Round 11 of the 2023 AFL season, beginning with Sydney vs Carlton on Friday and ending with Adelaide vs Brisbane on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 11 2023 a go-to resource for AFL fans.
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AFL Tips Round 11 2023: Who Will Win
Detailed below are our predictions for every AFL game in Round 11, 2023, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Sydney vs Carlton
Round 11 AFL action kicks off with Sydney facing Carlton at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday. Our AFL model projects Carlton as having a 52% chance of winning, while Sydney has a 48% win probability.
Sydney vs Carlton is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, May 26 at 7:50pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
St Kilda vs Hawthorn
In this week's game between St Kilda and Hawthorn, the Saints are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 75% chance for St Kilda. Hawthorn, on the other hand, has a 25% chance of pulling off an upset win.
St Kilda vs Hawthorn is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, May 27 at 1:45pm.
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Melbourne vs Fremantle
We are tipping Melbourne to win its game against Fremantle this week, with our model projecting a 75% win probability for the Demons. Fremantle has a 25% chance of winning at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Melbourne vs Fremantle is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, May 27 at 2:10pm.
Geelong vs GWS
With a win probability of 91% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this game is Geelong, while its opponent, GWS, has a low projected win chance of 9%.
Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, Betfair currently has Geelong at $1.12, with GWS available at $8.60.
Geelong vs GWS is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, May 27 at 4:35pm.
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Gold Coast vs Western Bulldogs
The Western Bulldogs have a 65% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to Gold Coast's 35% chance of victory. This makes the Bulldogs the team to tip at TIO Stadium.
Gold Coast vs Western Bulldogs is at TIO Stadium on Saturday, May 27 at 7:25pm.
West Coast vs Essendon
Essendon is favoured to win here, with our model giving them a 92% chance, while West Coast enters the weekend with an 8% chance of causing an upset at Optus Stadium.
West Coast vs Essendon is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, May 27 at 7:40pm.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide
According to our predictive analytics model, Richmond is the team to beat in this game, with the Tigers' win probability at 57%. Port Adelaide, on the other hand, has a 43% chance of winning.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Tigers at $2.08 and the Power at $1.90.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, May 28 at 1:10pm.
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Collingwood vs North Melbourne
We are tipping the Magpies in this match, with Collingwood given a 96% chance of winning, while North Melbourne has a 4% chance of an upset win.
Collingwood vs North Melbourne is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, May 28 at 3:20pm.
Adelaide vs Brisbane
The last game of Round 11 sees Adelaide take on Brisbane at Adelaide Oval. The latest Betfair odds list the Crows at $2.14 and the Lions at $1.85.
We are tipping Brisbane with a win probability of 60%, while Adelaide is projected to have a win chance of 40%.
Adelaide vs Brisbane is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, May 28 at 4:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 11 2023: Who to Tip
- Carlton
- St Kilda
- Melbourne
- Geelong
- Bulldogs
- Essendon
- Richmond
- Collingwood
- Brisbane
AFL Round 11 Games to Tip On
- Sydney Swans vs Carlton Blues
- St Kilda Saints vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Melbourne Demons vs Fremantle Dockers
- Geelong Cats vs GWS Giants
- Gold Coast Suns vs Western Bulldogs
- West Coast Eagles vs Essendon Bombers
- Richmond Tigers vs Port Adelaide Power
- Collingwood Magpies vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions
The AFL will commemorate the annual Sir Doug Nicholls Round during Round 11 of the 2023 AFL season, with three AFL clubs embracing traditional Aboriginal names. Melbourne will be referred to as 'Narrm,' Fremantle will be known as 'Walyalup,' and Port Adelaide will adopt the name 'Yartapuulti' throughout the 2023 Sir Doug Nicholls Round.
The AFL footy tips Round 11 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2023 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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