AFL Expert Tips for Round 11, 2024
Last updated: May 22, 2024, 1:15AM | Published: May 21, 2024, 2:15PM
Looking for data-driven AFL tips for Round 11? We have AFL Round 11 tips 2024 for every match this week.
Get the edge in your AFL tipping leagues with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 11 of the 2024 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL match 10,000 times.
AFL Round 11 Tips and Predictions 2024
Round 11 of the AFL season features nine games, starting with the Bulldogs vs Sydney on Thursday and finishing with Adelaide vs West Coast on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 11 2024 a must-read resource for AFL fans of every level.
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Tips Round 11 2024: Who Will Win
Detailed below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 11, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney
Round 11 action kicks off with the Western Bulldogs taking on Sydney at Marvel Stadium on Thursday. Our AFL model projects Sydney as having a 58% chance of winning, while the Bulldogs have a 42% win probability.
Western Bulldogs vs Sydney is at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, May 23 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Fremantle vs Collingwood
In Friday night's game between Fremantle and Collingwood, the Dockers are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 53% chance for Fremantle. Collingwood, on the other hand, has a 47% chance of winning.
Fremantle vs Collingwood is at Optus Stadium on Friday, May 24 at 8:10pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Tips
North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide
We are tipping Port Adelaide to win its game against North Melbourne this week, with our model projecting a 90% win probability for the Power. North Melbourne has a 10% chance of winning.
North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide is at Blundstone Arena on Saturday, May 25 at 1:45pm.
Carlton vs Gold Coast
With a win probability of 76% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this match is Carlton, while its opponent, Gold Coast, has a projected win chance of 24%.
Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, Betfair currently has Carlton at $1.50, with Gold Coast available at $2.96.
Carlton vs Gold Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, May 25 at 1:45pm.
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Geelong vs GWS
The Cats have a 55% chance of winning on Saturday afternoon, compared to GWS' 45% chance of victory. This makes Geelong the team to tip at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs GWS is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, May 25 at 4:35pm.
Richmond vs Essendon
Essendon is favoured to win here, with our model giving them a 90% chance, while Richmond enters the weekend with a 10% chance of causing an upset at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Essendon is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, May 25 at 7:40pm.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane
According to our predictive analytics model, Brisbane is the team to beat in this game, with the Lions' win probability at 59%. Hawthorn, on the other hand, has a 41% chance of winning.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Hawks at $3.20 and the Lions at $1.44.
Hawthorn vs Brisbane is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, May 26 at 1:10pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Melbourne vs St Kilda
Our model is tipping the Demons in this game, with Melbourne given a 71% chance of winning, while St Kilda has a 29% chance of an upset win.
Melbourne vs St Kilda is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, May 26 at 3:20pm.
Adelaide vs West Coast
The last game of Round 11 sees Adelaide take on West Coast at Adelaide Oval. The current Betfair odds list the Crows at $1.22 and the Eagles at $5.00.
We are tipping Adelaide with a win probability of 88%, while West Coast is projected to have a win chance of 12%.
Adelaide vs West Coast is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, May 26 at 4:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 11 2024: Who to Tip
- Sydney
- Fremantle
- Port Adelaide
- Carlton
- Geelong
- Essendon
- Brisbane
- Melbourne
- Adelaide
AFL Round 11 Games to Tip On
- Western Bulldogs vs Sydney Swans
- Fremantle Dockers vs Collingwood Magpies
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power
- Carlton Blues vs Gold Coast Suns
- Geelong Cats vs GWS Giants
- Richmond Tigers vs Essendon Bombers
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Brisbane Lions
- Melbourne Demons vs St Kilda Saints
- Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles
The AFL footy tips Round 11 2024 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2024 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
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