AFL Expert Tips for Round 15, 2022

Jun 23, 2022, 3:10AM

We're here to help with your AFL tips for Round 15.

Round 15 of the 2022 season is the most important week of AFL tipping yet, so it's important to utilise Stats Insider's data-driven model.

With the help of this model, we provide AFL footy tips for so you can gain an edge in your AFL tipping competition this weekend.

At Stats Insider, we have simulated every AFL Round 15 game 10,000 times each to provide AFL expert tips for all nine games.

RELATED: Tips for Every AFL Game

AFL Round 15 Tips

Melbourne vs Brisbane

Melbourne is a 60% chance of winning on Thursday night, while Brisbane has a 40% chance of making it four losses in a row for the Demons.

RELATED: Why Brisbane Should Be Worried

Melbourne vs Brisbane is at the MCG on Thursday, June 23 at 7:20pm AEST.

Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn

The Western Bulldogs have a 66% chance of winning against Hawthorn, who have a 34% chance.

Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, June 24 at 7:00pm AEST.

West Coast vs Essendon

The Bombers appear to have a good chance of prevailing on Friday night, with Essendon's win probability at 69% against West Coast's 31% chance of winning.

West Coast vs Essendon is at Optus Stadium on Friday, June 24 at 8:40pm AEST.

Carlton vs Fremantle

The Blues and Dockers clash in Melbourne this Saturday, with Carlton holding a 48% win probability. Fremantle is a 52% chance of winning.

Carlton vs Fremantle is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, June 25 at 1:45pm AEST.

Geelong vs Richmond

The Cats and Tigers clash in what is arguably the game of the round, with Richmond a 52% chance of winning against Geelong, who has a 48% win probability.

Geelong vs Richmond is at the MCG on Saturday, June 25 at 4:35pm AEST.

Sydney vs St Kilda

The Saints head north this week as they look to bounce back with a victory, but our model favours Sydney with a 73% chance of winning. St Kilda's win probability is 27%.

Sydney vs St Kilda is at the SCG on Saturday, June 25 at 7:25pm AEST.

North Melbourne vs Adelaide

The Crows have the shortest betting odds in the AFL this week and our model agrees that they should win, giving Adelaide a 73% win probability as opposed to the 27% chance of North Melbourne winning.

North Melbourne vs Adelaide is at Blundstone Arena on Sunday, June 26 at 1:10pm AEST.

Collingwood vs GWS Giants

The Magpies are tipped to continue their hot form this week with a 69% chance of winning for Collingwood, while the Giants have a 31% win probability.

Collingwood vs GWS is at the MCG on Sunday, June 26 at 3:20pm AEST.

Port Adelaide vs Gold Coast

Our model has the final game of the round going to the Power, with Port Adelaide given a 68% chance of winning, whilst Gold Coast has a win probability of 32%.

Port Adelaide vs Gold Coast is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, June 26 at 4:10pm AEST.

Expert AFL Tips for Round 15

Melbourne
Western Bulldogs
Essendon
Carlton
Richmond
Sydney
Adelaide
Collingwood
Port Adelaide

All footy tips and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.