AFL Expert Tips for Round 16, 2023
Last updated: Jul 2, 2023, 11:06AM | Published: Jun 27, 2023, 8:31AM
Looking for AFL tips for Round 16? We have AFL Round 16 tips 2023 for every game this weekend.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to give you some help with AFL tipping for each match in Round 16 of the 2023 season.
AFL Round 16 Tips and Predictions 2023
Round 16 of the AFL season features nine games, starting with Brisbane vs Richmond on Thursday and finishing with West Coast vs St Kilda on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 16 2023 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters across the country.
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AFL Tips Round 16 2023: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for every AFL clash in Round 16, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Brisbane vs Richmond
Round 16 action kicks off with Brisbane facing Richmond at The Gabba on Thursday. Our model projects Brisbane as having a 68% chance of winning, while Richmond has a 32% projected win chance.
Brisbane vs Richmond is at The Gabba on Thursday, June 29 at 7:20pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Sydney vs Geelong
In Friday night's game between Sydney and Geelong, the Swans are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 55% chance for Sydney. On the other hand, Geelong has a 45% chance of winning.
Sydney vs Geelong is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Friday, June 30 at 7:50pm.
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Adelaide vs North Melbourne
We are tipping Adelaide to win its game against North Melbourne this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 92% win probability for the Crows. North Melbourne has an 8% chance of winning at Adelaide Oval.
Adelaide vs North Melbourne is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, July 1 at 1:45pm.
Western Bulldogs vs Fremantle
With a win probability of 70% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this game is the Western Bulldogs, while their opponent, Fremantle, has a projected win chance of 30%.
Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, Betfair currently has the Western Bulldogs at $1.45, with Fremantle available at $3.05.
Western Bulldogs vs Fremantle is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, July 1 at 1:45pm.
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Gold Coast vs Collingwood
The Magpies have a 59% chance of winning on Saturday afternoon, compared to Gold Coast's 41% chance of victory. This makes Collingwood the team to tip at Metricon Stadium.
Gold Coast vs Collingwood is at Metricon Stadium on Saturday, July 1 at 4:35pm.
Essendon vs Port Adelaide
Port Adelaide is favoured to win here, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 60% chance, while Essendon enters the weekend with a 40% chance of securing a win at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Essendon vs Port Adelaide is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, July 1 at 7:25pm.
Hawthorn vs Carlton
According to our predictive analytics model, Carlton is the team to beat in this game, with the Blues' win probability at 67%. Hawthorn, on the other hand, has a 33% chance of winning.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Hawks at $3.50 and the Blues at $1.38.
Hawthorn vs Carlton is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, July 2 at 1:10pm.
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Melbourne vs GWS
We are tipping the Demons in this game, with Melbourne given a 73% chance of winning, while GWS has a 27% win probability.
Melbourne vs GWS is at TIO Stadium on Sunday, July 2 at 3:20pm.
West Coast vs St Kilda
The last game of Round 16 sees West Coast take on St Kilda at Optus Stadium. The latest Betfair odds have the Eagles at $11.50 and the Saints at $1.07.
We are tipping St Kilda with a win probability of 95%, while West Coast is projected to have a win chance of just 5%.
West Coast vs St Kilda is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, July 2 at 4:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 16 2023: Who to Tip
- Brisbane
- Sydney
- Adelaide
- Bulldogs
- Collingwood
- Port Adelaide
- Carlton
- Melbourne
- St Kilda
AFL Round 16 Games to Tip On
- Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers
- Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats
- Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Western Bulldogs vs Fremantle Dockers
- Gold Coast Suns vs Collingwood Magpies
- Essendon Bombers vs Port Adelaide Power
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Carlton Blues
- Melbourne Demons vs GWS Giants
- West Coast Eagles vs St Kilda Saints
The AFL footy tips Round 16 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Many tipsters respect Stats Insider's AFL expert tips. Our in-house data scientists and analysts use state-of-the-art technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes, from which our AFL expert tips 2023 are derived. This methodical process ensures the reliability of our predictions, allowing you to make educated decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
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