AFL Expert Tips for Round 24, 2023
Last updated: Aug 24, 2023, 2:15PM | Published: Aug 22, 2023, 11:14AMLooking for AFL tips for Round 24? We have AFL Round 24 tips 2023 for every match this weekend.
Get an edge in your AFL tipping competitions thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 24 of the 2023 AFL season, which come from simulating each AFL game thousands of times.
As we are now in the week of the 2023 AFL season, these expert tips have become even more vital. Use our model's Round 24 AFL tips to give yourself a chance at locking in the highest possible finish this footy tipping season.
AFL Round 24 Tips and Predictions 2023
Footy fans have nine games to look forward to this week, starting with Essendon vs Collingwood on Friday and ending with Carlton vs GWS on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 24 2023 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters of every level.
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Tips Round 24 2023: Who Will Win
Listed below are our predictions for each AFL clash in Round 24, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Essendon vs Collingwood
Round 24 action kicks off with Essendon facing Collingwood at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday. Our AFL model projects Collingwood as having a 83% chance of winning, while Essendon has a 17% win probability.
Essendon vs Collingwood is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, August 25 at 7:50pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Hawthorn vs Fremantle
In this week's game between Hawthorn and Fremantle, the Hawks are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 62% chance for Hawthorn. On the other hand, Fremantle has a 38% chance of winning.
Hawthorn vs Fremantle is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, August 26 at 1:45pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2023 Tips
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast
We are tipping Gold Coast to win its game against North Melbourne this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 78% win probability for the Suns. North Melbourne has a 22% chance of winning the game and potentially losing out on the first pick in the draft.
North Melbourne vs Gold Coast is at Blundstone Arena on Saturday, August 26 at 1:45pm.
Brisbane vs St Kilda
With a win probability of 81% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this game is Brisbane, while its opponent, St Kilda, has a projected win chance of 19%.
Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, Betfair currently has Brisbane at $1.26, with St Kilda available at $4.70.
Brisbane vs St Kilda is at The Gabba on Saturday, August 26 at 4:35pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs
The Bulldogs have a 61% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to the Cats' 39% chance of victory. This makes the Western Bulldogs the team to tip at GMHBA Stadium.
Geelong vs Western Bulldogs is at GMHBA Stadium on Saturday, August 26 at 7:25pm.
West Coast vs Adelaide
Adelaide is favoured to win its game this week, with our model giving them an 86% chance, while West Coast enters the weekend with an 14% chance of causing an upset at Optus Stadium.
West Coast vs Adelaide is at Optus Stadium on Saturday, August 26 at 8:10pm.
Port Adelaide vs Richmond
According to our predictive analytics model, Port Adelaide is the team to beat in this game, with the Power's win probability at 89%. Richmond, on the other hand, has a 11% chance of winning.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Power at $1.15 and the Tigers at $7.20.
Port Adelaide vs Richmond is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, August 27 at 12:30pm.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge
Sydney vs Melbourne
We are tipping the Swans in this game, with Sydney given a 58% chance of winning, while Melbourne has a 42% win probability.
Sydney vs Melbourne is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Sunday, August 27 at 3:20pm.
Carlton vs GWS
The last game of Round 24 sees Carlton take on GWS at Marvel Stadium. The latest Betfair odds list the Blues at $1.76 and the Giants at $2.28.
We are tipping Carlton with a win probability of 55%, while GWS is projected to have a win chance of 45%.
Carlton vs GWS is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, August 27 at 6:10pm.
AFL Tipping Round 24 2023: Who to Tip
- Collingwood
- Hawthorn
- Gold Coast
- Brisbane
- Western Bulldogs
- Adelaide
- Port Adelaide
- Sydney
- Carlton
Please note that at the beginning of the week, our model was tipping Geelong to win its game against the Western Bulldogs. Since they announced the changes to their team, we have run the simulations again and are now tipping the Bulldogs.
AFL Round 24 Games to Tip On
- Essendon Bombers vs Collingwood Magpies
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Fremantle Dockers
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns
- Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Saints
- Geelong Cats vs Western Bulldogs Bulldogs
- West Coast Eagles vs Adelaide Crows
- Port Adelaide Power vs Richmond Tigers
- Sydney Swans vs Melbourne Demons
- Carlton Blues vs GWS Giants
The AFL footy tips Round 24 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2023 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and trustworthy, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
As well as being your best resource for AFL footy tips, Stats Insider is your home for AFL betting insights and analysis, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, weekly AFL best bets, AFL betting trends, and AFL premiership probabilities.