AFL Expert Tips for Round 4, 2024
Last updated: Apr 2, 2024, 8:37PM | Published: Apr 2, 2024, 1:16PM
To give you a hand with your AFL tips for Round 4, we have AFL Round 4 tips 2024 for every Gather Round match this week.
Gain an edge in your AFL tipping leagues with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 4 of the 2024 AFL season, which are the result of simulating each AFL match-up 10,000 times.
AFL Round 4 Tips and Predictions 2024
There are nine games in Round 4 of the 2024 AFL season, with Gather Round starting with Adelaide vs Melbourne on Thursday and ending with Collingwood vs Hawthorn on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 4 2024 a must-read resource for AFL fans.
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Tips Round 4 2024: Who Will Win in Gather Round
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL clash in Round 4, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Adelaide vs Melbourne
Round 4 AFL action kicks off with Adelaide playing Melbourne at Adelaide Oval on Thursday. Our predictive analytics model projects Melbourne as having a 55% chance of winning, while Adelaide has a 45% projected win chance.
Adelaide vs Melbourne is at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, April 4 at 7:40pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT).
Brisbane vs North Melbourne
In this week's game between Brisbane and North Melbourne, the Lions are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting an 89% chance for Brisbane. On the other hand, North Melbourne has an 11% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Brisbane vs North Melbourne is at Norwood Oval on Friday, April 5 at 5:10pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Tips
Port Adelaide vs Essendon
We are tipping Port Adelaide to win its game against Essendon this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 77% win probability for the Power. Essendon has a 23% chance of winning at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs Essendon is at Adelaide Oval on Friday, April 5 at 8:10pm AEDT.
West Coast vs Sydney
With a win probability of 97%, our tip for this match is Sydney, while its opponent, West Coast, has a projected win chance of 3%.
Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, Betfair currently has West Coast at $13.50, with Sydney available at $1.07.
West Coast vs Sydney is at Adelaide Hills on Saturday, April 6 at 1:30pm AEDT.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Fremantle vs Carlton
The Blues have a 60% chance of winning on Saturday afternoon, compared to Fremantle's 40% chance of victory. This makes Carlton the team to tip at Adelaide Oval.
Fremantle vs Carlton is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, April 6 at 4:20pm AEDT.
Western Bulldogs vs Geelong
Geelong is favoured to win here, with our model giving them a 52% chance, while the Western Bulldogs enters the weekend with a 48% chance of winning at Adelaide Oval.
Western Bulldogs vs Geelong is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, April 6 at 8:10pm AEDT.
Gold Coast vs GWS
According to our predictive analytics model, GWS is the team to beat in this game, with the Giants' win probability at 75%. Gold Coast, on the other hand, has a 25% chance of winning.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Suns at $3.25 and the Giants at $1.39.
Gold Coast vs GWS is at Adelaide Hills on Sunday, April 7 at 12:30pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Richmond vs St Kilda
Our model is tipping the Saints in this match, with St Kilda given a 74% chance of winning, while Richmond has a 26% win probability.
Richmond vs St Kilda is at the Norwood Oval on Sunday, April 7 at 3:20pm.
Collingwood vs Hawthorn
The last game of Gather Round sees Collingwood take on Hawthorn at Adelaide Oval. The latest Betfair odds have the Magpies at $1.33 and the Hawks at $3.90.
We are tipping Collingwood with a win probability of 78%, while Hawthorn is projected to have a win chance of 22%.
Collingwood vs Hawthorn is at the Adelaide Oval on Sunday, April 7 at 5:10pm.
AFL Tipping Round 4 2024: Who to Tip
- Melbourne
- Brisbane
- Port Adelaide
- Sydney
- Carlton
- Geelong
- GWS
- St Kilda
- Collingwood
AFL Round 4 Games to Tip On
- Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons
- Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Port Adelaide Power vs Essendon Bombers
- West Coast Eagles vs Sydney Swans
- Fremantle Dockers vs Carlton Blues
- Western Bulldogs vs Geelong Cats
- Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants
- Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints
- Collingwood Magpies vs Hawthorn Hawks
The AFL footy tips Round 4 2024 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2024 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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