AFL Expert Tips for Round 5, 2024
Last updated: Apr 10, 2024, 1:15AM | Published: Apr 9, 2024, 2:15PM
To give you a hand with your AFL tips for Round 5, we have AFL Round 5 tips 2024 for every game this week.
Get the edge in your AFL tipping competitions thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 5 of the 2024 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL game thousands of times.
AFL Round 5 Tips and Predictions 2024
AFL fans have eight games to enjoy this week, beginning with Melbourne vs Brisbane on Thursday and finishing with West Coast vs Richmond on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 5 2024 a must-read resource for AFL fans across the country.
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Tips Round 5 2024: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL clash in Round 5, 2024, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Melbourne vs Brisbane
Round 5 action kicks off with Melbourne playing Brisbane at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday night. Our predictive analytics model projects Melbourne as having a 73% chance of winning, while Brisbane has a 27% win probability.
Melbourne vs Brisbane is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, April 11 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Western Bulldogs vs Essendon
In this week's game between the Western Bulldogs and Essendon, the Bulldogs are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 68% chance for the Western Bulldogs. Essendon, on the other hand, has a 32% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Western Bulldogs vs Essendon is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, April 12 at 7:40pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Tips
GWS vs St Kilda
We are tipping GWS to win its game against St Kilda this week, with our model projecting a 78% win probability for the Giants. St Kilda has a 22% chance of winning.
GWS vs St Kilda is at Manuka Oval on Saturday, April 13 at 1:45pm.
Carlton vs Adelaide
With a win probability of 79% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this match is Carlton, while its opponent, Adelaide, has a projected win chance of 21%.
Looking at the latest betting odds, Betfair currently has Carlton at $1.32, with Adelaide available at $4.00.
Carlton vs Adelaide is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, April 13 at 4:35pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn
The Suns have a 79% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to Hawthorn's 21% chance of victory. This makes Gold Coast the team to tip at Carrara Stadium.
Gold Coast vs Hawthorn is at Carrara Stadium on Saturday, April 13 at 7:30pm.
Port Adelaide vs Fremantle
Port Adelaide is favoured to win its Round 5 match, with our model giving them a 75% chance, while Fremantle enters the weekend with a 25% chance of causing an upset at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs Fremantle is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, April 13 at 7:30pm.
Geelong vs North Melbourne
According to our predictive analytics model, Geelong is the team to beat in this game, with the Cats' win probability at 97%. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has a 3% chance of pulling off an upset victory.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Cats at $1.07 and the Kangaroos at $14.00.
Geelong vs North Melbourne is at GMHBA Stadium on Sunday, April 14 at 1:00pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
West Coast vs Richmond
Our model is tipping the Tigers in this game, with Richmond given a 76% chance of winning, while West Coast has a 24% chance of an upset win.
West Coast vs Richmond is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, April 14 at 4:00pm.
AFL Tipping Round 5 2024: Who to Tip
- Melbourne
- Bulldogs
- GWS
- Carlton
- Gold Coast
- Port Adelaide
- Geelong
- Richmond
AFL Round 5 Games to Tip On
- Melbourne Demons vs Brisbane Lions
- Western Bulldogs vs Essendon Bombers
- GWS Giants vs St Kilda Saints
- Carlton Blues vs Adelaide Crows
- Gold Coast Suns vs Hawthorn Hawks
- Port Adelaide Power vs Fremantle Dockers
- Geelong Cats vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- West Coast Eagles vs Richmond Tigers
AFL Round 5 Bye Teams: Who Has a Bye This Week
- Collingwood Magpies
- Sydney Swans
The AFL footy tips Round 5 2024 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2024 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on the AFL
As well as being your best resource for AFL footy tips, Stats Insider is your home for AFL betting information, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL premiership odds.
