AFL Expert Tips for Round 9, 2023
Last updated: May 14, 2023, 11:31AM | Published: May 11, 2023, 12:00PM
Looking for data-driven AFL tips for Round 9? We have AFL Round 9 tips 2023 for every game this weekend.
Gain an edge in AFL tipping competitions with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 9 of the 2023 AFL season, the result of simulating each AFL game thousands of times.
AFL Round 9 Tips and Predictions 2023
AFL fans have nine games to look forward to this week, starting with Richmond vs Geelong on Friday and finishing with Collingwood vs GWS on Sunday.
These AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 9 2023 a go-to resource for AFL tipsters.
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AFL Tips Round 9 2023: Who Will Win
Featured below are our predictions for every AFL clash in Round 9, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Richmond vs Geelong
Round 9 action kicks off with Richmond taking on Geelong at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday. Our predictive analytics model projects Geelong as having a 60% chance of winning, while Richmond has a 40% win probability.
Richmond vs Geelong is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, May 12 at 7:20pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
West Coast vs Gold Coast
In Friday night's game between West Coast and Gold Coast, the Suns are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 75% chance for Gold Coast. West Coast, on the other hand, has a 25% chance of pulling off an upset win.
West Coast vs Gold Coast is at Optus Stadium on Friday, May 12 at 8:40pm.
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Sydney vs Fremantle
We are tipping Sydney to win its game against Fremantle this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 75% win probability for the Swans. Fremantle has a 25% chance of winning.
Sydney vs Fremantle is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, May 13 at 1:45pm.
North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide
With a win probability of 85% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this match is Port Adelaide, while its opponent, North Melbourne, has a projected win chance of 15%.
Looking at the latest betting odds, Betfair currently has North Melbourne at $5.40, with Port Adelaide available at $1.21.
North Melbourne vs Port Adelaide is at Blundstone on Saturday, May 13 at 2:10pm.
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Hawthorn vs Melbourne
The Demons have a 91% chance of winning on Saturday afternoon, compared to Hawthorn's 9% chance of victory. This makes Melbourne the team to tip at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Hawthorn vs Melbourne is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, May 13 at 4:35pm.
Brisbane vs Essendon
Brisbane is favoured to win here, with our model giving them an 83% chance, while Essendon enters the weekend with a 17% chance of causing an upset at The Gabba.
Brisbane vs Essendon is at The Gabba on Saturday, May 13 at 7:25pm.
Carlton vs Western Bulldogs
According to our predictive analytics model, Carlton is the team to beat in this game, with the Blues' win probability at 53%. The Western Bulldogs, on the other hand, have a 47% chance of winning.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Blues at $1.95 and the Bulldogs at $2.04.
Carlton vs Western Bulldogs is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, May 13 at 7:30pm.
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Adelaide vs St Kilda
Our model is tipping the Crows in this game, with Adelaide given a 58% chance of winning, while St Kilda has a 42% win probability.
Adelaide vs St Kilda is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, May 14 at 1:10pm.
Collingwood vs GWS
The last game of Round 9 sees Collingwood take on GWS at the Melbourne Cricket Ground. The latest Betfair odds have the Magpies at $1.20 and the Giants at $5.50.
We are tipping Collingwood with a win probability of 83%, while GWS is projected to have a win chance of 17%.
Collingwood vs GWS is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, May 14 at 4:40pm.
AFL Tipping Round 9 2023: Who to Tip
- Geelong
- Gold Coast
- Sydney
- Port Adelaide
- Melbourne
- Brisbane
- Carlton
- Adelaide
- Collingwood
AFL Tipping: Round 9 Games
- Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats
- West Coast Eagles vs Gold Coast Suns
- Sydney Swans vs Fremantle Dockers
- North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Port Adelaide Power
- Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons
- Brisbane Lions vs Essendon Bombers
- Carlton Blues vs Western Bulldogs
- Adelaide Crows vs St Kilda Saints
- Collingwood Magpies vs GWS Giants
The AFL footy tips Round 9 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2023 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you decide to use our tips for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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