AFL Expert Tips for Round 9, 2024
Last updated: May 8, 2024, 1:15AM | Published: May 7, 2024, 2:15PM
Looking for a guide with your AFL tips for Round 9? We have AFL Round 9 tips 2024 for every match this weekend.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to help with AFL tipping for each match in Round 9 of the 2024 season.
AFL Round 9 Tips and Predictions 2024
There are nine games in Round 9 of the 2024 AFL season, starting with Carlton vs Melbourne on Thursday and concluding with Adelaide vs Brisbane on Sunday.
The below AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by independent data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 9 2024 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters of every level.
Related: Predictions for Every AFL Game
AFL Tips Round 9 2024: Who Will Win
Listed below are our predictions for every AFL game in Round 9, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Carlton vs Melbourne
Round 9 AFL action kicks off with Carlton taking on Melbourne at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday. Our predictive analytics model projects Carlton as having a 53% chance of winning, while Melbourne has a 47% projected win chance.
Carlton vs Melbourne is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Thursday, May 9 at 7:30pm. All times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST).
Geelong vs Port Adelaide
In Friday night's game between Geelong and Port Adelaide, the Cats are the more likely winners, with our predictive model projecting a 78% chance for Geelong. On the other hand, Port Adelaide has a 22% chance of pulling off an upset win.
Geelong vs Port Adelaide is at GMHBA Stadium on Friday, May 10 at 7:10pm.
More: AFL Premiership 2024 Tips
Fremantle vs Sydney
We are tipping Sydney to win its game against Fremantle this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 60% win probability for the Swans. Fremantle has a 40% chance of winning at Optus Stadium.
Fremantle vs Sydney is at Optus Stadium on Friday, May 10 at 8:20pm.
Hawthorn vs St Kilda
With a win probability of 55% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this match is St Kilda, while its opponent, Hawthorn, has a projected win chance of 45%.
Looking at the head-to-head betting odds, Betfair currently has Hawthorn at $2.56, with St Kilda available at $1.62.
Hawthorn vs St Kilda is at York Park on Saturday, May 11 at 1:45pm.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Essendon vs GWS
The Giants have a 58% chance of winning on Saturday afternoon, compared to Essendon's 42% chance of victory. This makes GWS the team to tip at Marvel Stadium.
Essendon vs GWS is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, May 11 at 4:35pm.
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs
The Western Bulldogs are favourites to win their Round 9 game, with our model giving them a 75% chance, while Richmond enters the weekend with a 25% chance of causing an upset at the Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, May 11 at 7:30pm.
Gold Coast vs North Melbourne
According to our predictive analytics model, Gold Coast is the team to beat in this game, with the Suns' win probability at 92%. North Melbourne, on the other hand, has an 8% chance of pulling off an upset victory.
If you want to bet on the match, Betfair has the Suns at $1.10 and the Kangaroos at $10.00.
Gold Coast vs North Melbourne is at TIO Stadium on Saturday, May 11 at 7:30pm.
More: AFL Strength of Schedule
Collingwood vs West Coast
Our model is tipping the Magpies in this game, with Collingwood given a 92% chance of winning, while West Coast has an 8% chance of an upset win.
Collingwood vs West Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, May 12 at 1:00pm.
Adelaide vs Brisbane
The last game of Round 9 sees Adelaide take on Brisbane at Adelaide Oval. The latest Betfair odds have the Crows at $1.71 and the Lions at $2.22.
We are tipping Adelaide with a win probability of 64%, while Brisbane is projected to have a win chance of 36%.
Adelaide vs Brisbane is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, May 12 at 4:00pm.
AFL Tipping Round 9 2024: Who to Tip
- Carlton
- Geelong
- Sydney
- St Kilda
- GWS
- Bulldogs
- Gold Coast
- Collingwood
- Adelaide
AFL Round 9 Games to Tip On
- Carlton Blues vs Melbourne Demons
- Geelong Cats vs Port Adelaide Power
- Fremantle Dockers vs Sydney Swans
- Hawthorn Hawks vs St Kilda Saints
- Essendon Bombers vs GWS Giants
- Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs
- Gold Coast Suns vs North Melbourne Kangaroos
- Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles
- Adelaide Crows vs Brisbane Lions
The AFL footy tips Round 9 2024 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Stats Insider is renowned in Australia for providing expert AFL tips. Our AFL expert tips 2024 are generated by an in-house team of skilled data scientists and analysts who use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to simulate each game 10,000 times and determine the most likely outcomes. This meticulous approach ensures our predictions are accurate and reliable, helping you make informed decisions when it comes to AFL tipping.
If you choose to use our AFL tips for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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As well as being your expert resource for AFL footy tips, Stats Insider is your go-to site for AFL betting information, with the latest AFL betting news, predictions for every AFL game, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL 2024 premiership probabilities.
