AFL Expert Tips & Predictions: Who Wins AFL Grand Final 2022?

Last updated: Sep 21, 2022, 11:17PM | Published: Sep 21, 2022, 11:11PM

It's AFL Grand Final week and we have expert tips for Geelong vs Sydney, with Stats Insider's AFL Grand Final 2022 predictions covering the Grand Final winner, which team will cover the line, and the total points over/under.

Our AFL Grand Final predictor is based on 10,000 simulations of the 2022 AFL Grand Final, thanks to advanced data and machine learning.

Geelong vs Sydney is at the MCG on Saturday, September 24 at 2:30pm AEST.

AFL Grand Final Tips

This year's Grand Final AFL footy tips are here to help you with Australian rules football's biggest game of the season, with all of our AFL predictions below.

Who Will Win the AFL Grand Final?

Stats Insider's tip for the AFL Grand Final is for Geelong to win with a 66% probability, whilst Sydney is projected to have a 34% chance of winning their first premiership in 10 years.

AFL Grand Final Prediction

BlueBet has installed Geelong as 11.5-point favourites, with our model slightly favouring Geelong to cover the line at a 52% probability.

AFL Grand Final Score Prediction

The total points line for the 2022 AFL Grand Final is 164.5, with our model picking the total points under as the more likely outcome at a 57% probability.

Stats Insider's score prediction for the AFL Grand Final is Geelong 88-75 Sydney.

Where to Bet on the AFL Grand Final

If you're looking to bet on the AFL Grand Final, we recommend using BlueBet, where you can bet a same-game multi on our tips at odds of $3.60, with a $10 bet potentially returning $36.

Geelong to cover -11.5 ($1.90)
Total points under 164.5 ($1.90)

Who is going to win the Norm Smith Medal?

In our article about who will win the Norm Smith Medal in 2022, Patrick Dangerfield is shown to be the most likely player to win the 2022 Norm Smith Medal.

RELATED: Tips for Every AFL Game

All expert tips AFL and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change, with our AFL Fixtures page showing the latest projections.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.