AFL Expert Tips for Preliminary Finals 2022
Sep 13, 2022, 10:46AMStats Insider's AFL preliminary finals 2022 predictions are here for anyone looking for AFL expert tips finals Week 3.
Our AFL tips finals Week 3 are based on 10,000 simulations of both AFL preliminary finals, thanks to advanced data and machine learning.
Thanks to Stats Insider's AFL expert tips 2022, AFL tipsters have had success all season. Our AFL tips for this week are listed here, courtesy of BlueBet.
There are two AFL preliminary finals scheduled for this weekend, with Geelong vs Brisbane and Sydney vs Collingwood set to decide this year's AFL grand finalists.
AFL Preliminary Finals 2022 Tips
Geelong vs Brisbane
After simulating this week's first preliminary final 10,000 times, we are tipping Geelong with a 77% win probability, while Brisbane has a 23% chance of advancing to the 2022 grand final.
As for the 23.5-point line set by BlueBet, our predictive analytics model projects Brisbane (+23.5) as the more likely team to cover with a 54% probability.
Geelong vs Brisbane is at the MCG on Friday, September 16 at 7:50pm AEST.
Sydney vs Collingwood
Our model projects Sydney to have a 73% chance of winning the second preliminary final, with Collingwood having a 27% chance of beating the Swans.
The Magpies are 17.5-point underdogs with BlueBet this week, which has a 51% chance of covering.
MORE: 2022 Brownlow Medal Predictions
Sydney vs Collingwood is at the MCG on Saturday, September 10 at 7:25pm AEST.
Expert AFL Prelim Finals Tips 2022
- Geelong
- Sydney
A multi of these two tips is paying $2.03 at BlueBet, with punters set to double their money if the two favourites win their respective AFL preliminary finals.
RELATED: Tips for Every AFL Game
All expert tips AFL and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change, with our AFL fixtures page showing the latest projections.