AFL Expert Tips for Semi Finals 2022
Last updated: Sep 6, 2022, 3:59AM | Published: Sep 5, 2022, 10:52AM
Stats Insider's AFL expert tips are here for everyone looking for AFL finals tips for the semi-finals.
Our AFL finals Week 2 tips are based on 10,000 simulations of every AFL finals game this week, thanks to advanced machine learning and data.
AFL tipsters have had success all season due to Stats Insider's AFL expert tips 2022, with our AFL tips for this week being displayed below, thanks to BlueBet.
There are two games scheduled for Week 2 of the 2022 AFL finals, with Melbourne vs Brisbane getting us started, before Collingwood vs Fremantle on Saturday night.
AFL Semi Finals Tips 2022
Melbourne vs Brisbane
Our modelling suggests that the reigning premiers will bounce back this week, with Melbourne projected as a 70% chance of winning. Their opponents Brisbane have a 30% win probability.
As for the 17.5-point line set by BlueBet, our model is projecting Brisbane (+17.5) as the more likely team to cover at a 53% probability.
Melbourne vs Brisbane is at the MCG on Friday, September 9 at 7:50pm AEST.
Collingwood vs Fremantle
After going down in a thriller against Geelong last weekend, Collingwood has a 69% chance of getting the win this week. The travelling Fremantle has a projected win probability of 31%.
The home team in Collingwood are 12.5-point favourites with BlueBet this week, with our model unable to split them at the line, projecting each team as a 50% chance of covering.
MORE: 2022 Brownlow Medal Predictions
Collingwood vs Fremantle is at the MCG on Saturday, September 10 at 7:25pm AEST.
Expert AFL Semi Finals Tips 2022
- Melbourne
- Collingwood
A multi of these these tips is paying $2.03 at BlueBet, with punters set to double their money if the two favourites do what they are expected to.
RELATED: Tips for Every AFL Game
All expert tips AFL and probabilities in this article are correct at time of publishing and subject to change, with our AFL fixtures page showing the latest projections.
