AFL Tips for Round 3, 2023
Last updated: Apr 2, 2023, 11:54PM | Published: Mar 29, 2023, 10:32AM
Looking for data-driven AFL tips for Round 3? Stats Insider has AFL Round 3 tips 2023 for every match this weekend.
As Australia's leading provider of AFL expert tips, Stats Insider is here to give you an advantage with AFL tipping for each match in Round 3 of the 2023 season.
AFL Expert Tips 2023 Round 3
Round 3 of the AFL season features nine games, beginning with the Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane on Thursday and concluding with Fremantle vs West Coast on Sunday.
Stats Insider's AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by trusted data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 3 2023 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters.
AFL Tips Round 3 2023
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 3, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane
Round 3 action kicks off with the Western Bulldogs facing Brisbane at Marvel Stadium on Thursday night. Our predictive analytics model projects Brisbane as having a 59% chance of winning, while the Western Bulldogs have a 41% projected win chance.
Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane is at Marvel Stadium on Thursday, March 30 at 7:20pm AEDT.
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Collingwood vs Richmond
In Friday night's game between Collingwood and Richmond, the Magpies are the more likely winners, with Stats Insider's analytics model projecting a 61% chance for Collingwood. Richmond, on the other hand, has a 39% chance of winning.
Collingwood vs Richmond is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Friday, March 31 at 7:50pm AEDT.
Hawthorn vs North Melbourne
We are tipping North Melbourne to win its game against Hawthorn this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 54% win probability for the Kangaroos. Hawthorn has a 46% chance of winning at University of Tasmania Stadium.
Hawthorn vs North Melbourne is at University of Tasmania Stadium on Saturday, April 1 at 1:45pm AEDT.
GWS vs Carlton
With a win probability of 65% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this game is Carlton, while its opponent, GWS, has a projected win chance of 35%.
Betfair currently currently has the home team in GWS at head-to-head odds of $2.60, with Carlton available at $1.61. Click here to bet on this game on the Betfair Exchange.
GWS vs Carlton is at Giants Stadium on Saturday, April 1 at 4:35pm AEDT.
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St Kilda vs Essendon
The Saints have a 53% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to Essendon's 47% chance of victory. This makes St Kilda the tip to make on Saturday night.
St Kilda vs Essendon is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, April 1 at 7:25pm AEDT.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide
Port Adelaide is favoured here, with our predictive analytics model giving them a 67% chance of winning, while Adelaide enters the weekend with a 33% chance of causing an upset at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs Adelaide is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, April 1 at 7:30pm AEDT.
Gold Coast vs Geelong
According to our predictive analytics model, Geelong is the team to beat in this game, with the Cats' win probability at 65%. Gold Coast, on the other hand, has a 35% chance of winning.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair has the Suns at $3.10 and the Cats at $1.44.
Gold Coast vs Geelong is at Metricon Stadium on Sunday, April 2 at 2:10pm AEST.
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Melbourne vs Sydney
Stats Insider's model is tipping the Demons in this match, with Melbourne given a 62% chance of winning, while Sydney has a 38% win probability.
Melbourne vs Sydney is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Sunday, April 2 at 3:20pm AEST.
Fremantle vs West Coast
The last game of Round 3 sees Fremantle take on West Coast at Optus Stadium. The latest Betfair odds have the Dockers at $1.50 and the Eagles at $2.94.
We are tipping Fremantle with a win probability of 76%, while West Coast is projected to have a win chance of 24%.
Fremantle vs West Coast is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, April 2 at 5:20pm AEST.
AFL Tipping Round 3 2023
- Brisbane
- Collingwood
- North Melbourne
- Carlton
- St Kilda
- Port Adelaide
- Geelong
- Melbourne
- Fremantle
Related: Tips for Every AFL Game
All AFL footy tips Round 3 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Our AFL expert tips are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations per game, resulting in reliable and accurate predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For help with gambling-related issues, we recommend visiting gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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