AFL Tips for Round 4, 2023
Apr 5, 2023, 8:58PM
Searching for AFL tips for Round 4? Stats Insider has AFL Round 4 tips 2023 for every match this weekend.
Get the edge in your AFL tipping competitions with the help of our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 4 of the 2023 AFL season, which come from simulating each AFL match-up thousands of times.
AFL Expert Tips 2023 Round 4
AFL fans have nine games to look forward to this week, beginning with Brisbane vs Collingwood on Thursday and ending with Geelong vs Hawthorn on Monday.
Stats Insider's AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 4 2023 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters of every level.
AFL Tips Round 4 2023
Featured below are our predictions for each AFL clash in Round 4, 2023, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Brisbane vs Collingwood
Round 4 action kicks off with Brisbane taking on Collingwood at The Gabba on Thursday. Our AFL model projects both teams as having a 50% chance of winning this one, with a slight lean towards tipping Brisbane to get the win.
Brisbane vs Collingwood is at The Gabba on Thursday, April 6 at 7:35pm AEST.
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North Melbourne vs Carlton
In this week's game between North Melbourne and Carlton, the Blues are the more likely winners, with Stats Insider's analytics model projecting an 84% chance for Carlton. N Melbourne, on the other hand, has a 16% chance of winning.
North Melbourne vs Carlton is at Marvel Stadium on Friday, April 7 at 4:20pm AEST.
Adelaide vs Fremantle
We are tipping Adelaide to win its game against Fremantle this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 55% win probability for the Crows. Fremantle has a 45% chance of winning.
Adelaide vs Fremantle is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, April 8 at 1:45pm AEST.
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs
With a win probability of 58% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this match is Richmond, while its opponent, the Western Bulldogs, have a projected win chance of 42%.
Betfair currently currently has the home team in Richmond at head-to-head odds of $1.56, with the Western Bulldogs available at $2.72. Click here to bet on this game on the Betfair Exchange.
Richmond vs Western Bulldogs is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Saturday, April 8 at 4:35pm AEST.
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St Kilda vs Gold Coast
The Saints have a 64% chance of winning on Saturday night, compared to Gold Coast's 36% chance of victory. This makes St Kilda the tip to make on Saturday night.
St Kilda vs Gold Coast is at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, April 8 at 7:30pm AEST.
Sydney vs Port Adelaide
Sydney is favoured in this game, with Stats Insider's predictive analytics model giving them a 67% chance of winning, while Port Adelaide enters the weekend with a 33% chance of winning at the Sydney Cricket Ground.
Sydney vs Port Adelaide is at the Sydney Cricket Ground on Saturday, April 8 at 7:30pm AEST.
Essendon vs GWS
According to our predictive analytics model, Essendon is the team to beat in this game, with the Bombers' win probability at 66%. GWS, on the other hand, has a 34% chance of winning.
Essendon vs GWS is at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, April 9 at 2:10pm AEST.
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West Coast vs Melbourne
We are tipping the Demons in this match, with Melbourne given a 90% chance of winning, while West Coast has a 10% win probability.
West Coast vs Melbourne is at Optus Stadium on Sunday, April 9 at 5:20pm AEST.
Geelong vs Hawthorn
The last game of Round 4 sees Geelong take on Hawthorn the at Melbourne Cricket Ground. The latest Betfair odds have the Cats at $1.21 and the Hawks at $5.30.
We are tipping Geelong with a win probability of 83%, while Hawthorn is projected to have a win chance of 17%.
Geelong vs Hawthorn is at the Melbourne Cricket Ground on Monday, April 10 at 3:20pm AEST.
AFL Tipping Round 4 2023
- Brisbane
- Carlton
- Adelaide
- Richmond
- St Kilda
- Sydney
- Essendon
- Melbourne
- Geelong
Related: Tips for Every AFL Game
All AFL footy tips Round 4 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Our AFL expert tips have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations per game, providing reliable and accurate predictions that can help you make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our tips for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For help with gambling-related issues, we recommend visiting gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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