AFL Tips for Round 5, 2023
Last updated: Apr 16, 2023, 10:16AM | Published: Apr 12, 2023, 7:24PM
To give you an advantage with your AFL tips for Round 5, Stats Insider has AFL Round 5 tips 2023 for every game this weekend.
Get an edge in AFL tipping competitions thanks to our data-driven AFL expert tips for Round 5 of the 2023 AFL season, which are the result of simulating each AFL game 10,000 times.
AFL Expert Tips 2023 Round 5
There are nine games in Round 5 of the 2023 AFL season, starting with Adelaide vs Carlton on Thursday and ending with Collingwood vs St Kilda on Sunday.
Stats Insider's AFL footy tips and predictions are powered by cutting-edge data and analytics, making our AFL tips Round 5 2023 a must-read resource for AFL tipsters.
AFL Tips Round 5 2023
Listed below are our predictions for each AFL game in Round 5, 2023, based on 10,000 simulations per match.
Adelaide vs Carlton
Round 5 action kicks off with Adelaide facing Carlton at Adelaide Oval on Thursday. Our AFL model projects Carlton as having a 54% chance of winning, while Adelaide has a 46% win probability.
Adelaide vs Carlton is at Adelaide Oval on Thursday, April 13 at 7:40pm AEST.
More: AFL Premiership 2023 Tips
Fremantle vs Gold Coast
In this week's game between Fremantle and Gold Coast, the Dockers are the more likely winners, with our analytics model projecting a 58% chance for Fremantle. Gold Coast, on the other hand, has a 42% chance of winning.
Fremantle vs Gold Coast is at Norwood Oval on Friday, April 14 at 5:10pm AEST.
Richmond vs Sydney
We are tipping Sydney to win its game against Richmond this week, with our powerful AFL model projecting a 56% win probability for the Swans. Richmond has a 44% chance of winning at Adelaide Oval.
Richmond vs Sydney is at Adelaide Oval on Friday, April 14 at 8:10pm AEST.
Brisbane vs North Melbourne
With a win probability of 82% on Saturday afternoon, our tip for this game is Brisbane, while its opponent, North Melbourne, has a projected win chance of 18%.
Betfair currently has Brisbane at head-to-head odds of $1.21, with North Melbourne available at $5.10. Click here to bet on this game on the Betfair Exchange.
Brisbane vs North Melbourne is at Summit Sport and Recreation Park on Saturday, April 15 at 1:10pm AEST.
More: AFL Player Ratings
Essendon vs Melbourne
The Demons have a 75% chance of winning on Saturday afternoon, compared to Essendon's 25% chance of victory. This makes Melbourne the team to tip at Adelaide Oval.
Essendon vs Melbourne is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, April 15 at 4:10pm AEST.
Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs
Port Adelaide is favoured to win its game this week, with Stats Insider's model giving them a 62% chance, while the Western Bulldogs enter the weekend with a 38% chance of causing an upset at Adelaide Oval.
Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs is at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, April 15 at 7:50pm AEST.
Geelong vs West Coast
According to our predictive analytics model, Geelong is the team to beat in this game, with the Cats' win probability at 94%. West Coast, on the other hand, has a 6% chance of pulling off an unlikely victory.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair has the Cats at $1.10 and the Eagles at $9.40.
Geelong vs West Coast is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, April 16 at 1:10pm AEST.
More: AFL Coach Pressure Gauge
GWS vs Hawthorn
We are tipping the Giants in this game, with GWS given a 66% chance of winning, while Hawthorn has a 34% chance of an upset win.
GWS vs Hawthorn is at Norwood Oval on Sunday, April 16 at 3:20pm AEST.
Collingwood vs St Kilda
The last game of Round 5 sees Collingwood take on St Kilda at Adelaide Oval. The latest Betfair odds have the Magpies at $1.52 and the Saints at $2.84.
We are tipping Collingwood with a win probability of 70%, while St Kilda is projected to have a win chance of 30%.
Collingwood vs St Kilda is at Adelaide Oval on Sunday, April 16 at 4:50pm AEST.
AFL Tipping Round 5 2023
- Carlton
- Fremantle
- Sydney
- Brisbane
- Melbourne
- Port Adelaide
- Geelong
- GWS
- Collingwood
Related: Tips for Every AFL Game
All AFL footy tips Round 5 2023 and probabilities in this article are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Our AFL expert tips are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations per game, giving you reliable and accurate predictions that can help you make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our footy tips for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. If you need assistance with gambling-related issues, we recommend visiting gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on AFL
As well as being your expert resource for AFL footy tips, Stats Insider is your home for AFL betting information, with the latest AFL betting news, tips for every AFL match, weekly AFL best bets, and AFL 2023 premiership probabilities.
