Are the Panthers the Most Likely 2023 NRL Premiership Winners?
Last updated: May 24, 2023, 10:09AM | Published: May 24, 2023, 3:24AM
The Panthers are the most likely team to win the 2023 NRL premiership.
According to Stats Insider's NRL futures model, after defeating the Broncos 15-4 in Round 12, the Panthers have a 27.6% chance of winning the 2023 NRL premiership.
The Panthers displaced the Rabbitohs, who dropped to the second most likely team to win the NRL premiership at 26.3% after losing by 20-points to Cronulla, while the Sharks are the third most likely team to win the 2023 NRL premiership at 14.7%.
The Rabbitohs are still the most likely team to win the NRL minor premiership at 35.3%, with the Panthers closing the gap in second position at 34.4%.
The Panthers have a bye in Round 13, heading towards Game 1 of State of Origin 2023.
MORE: 2023 NRL Premiership Probabilities
2023 NRL Premiership Probabilities
| Team | Probability |
| Penrith Panthers | 27.6% |
| South Sydney Rabbitohs | 26.3% |
| Cronulla Sharks | 14.7% |
| Melbourne Storm | 11.2% |
| Brisbane Broncos | 6.4% |
| Sydney Roosters | 4.7% |
| Parramatta Eels | 2.8% |
| Canberra Raiders | 2.6% |
| North Queensland Cowboys | 1.3% |
| New Zealand Warriors | 0.9% |
All probabilities are correct at the time of publication.
Are the Tigers the Most Probable for Most Losses?
The Tigers are the most probable NRL team to have the most losses in 2023.
Despite a run of form that saw them climb off the bottom of the ladder, including a 66-18 win over the Cowboys, the Tigers are still Stats Insider's most likely team to have the most losses in 2023 at 34.5%.
The bottom-placed Dragons are the favourites to have the most losses with TAB at $2.15, but are the second most likely at Stats Insider at 24.9% probability.
The Bulldogs are the third most likely team to have the most NRL losses in 2023, at 15%.
The Tigers have a bye heading into the State of Origin period, while the Dragons face off against the Dolphins in Round 13.
(Photo by Quinn Rooney/Getty Images)
