Argentina vs Mexico World Cup 2022 Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
Nov 20, 2022, 7:10PM
Argentina faces Mexico in Group C of the FIFA World Cup 2022 at Lusail Iconic Stadium in Qatar on Sunday, commencing at 6:00am AEDT.
The FIFA World Cup is one of the biggest sporting events on the planet, and Mexico and Argentina are among the 32 countries present in Qatar this year.
Group C at the 2022 World Cup includes Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, and Poland. The top two nations from each group go through to the knockout phase.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for Argentina vs Mexico, plus the latest betting odds via Betfair, are featured below.
Who will win? Argentina vs Mexico
Using cutting-edge computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Argentina-Mexico World Cup 2022 match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives Argentina a 59.2% chance of winning, Mexico a 16.9% chance of winning, and the draw a 24.0% chance of occurring.
More: Argentina vs Mexico Simulated 10K Times
Argentina vs Mexico World Cup Odds
- Result: Argentina $1.64, Mexico $6.60, Draw $3.85
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over $2.14, Under $1.79
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Betfair currently has Argentina's odds to win at $1.64, with Mexico's odds to win at $6.60, and odds for the draw at $3.85 if you think the game will be tied up after 90 minutes.
For Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Mexico vs Argentina match, Betfair currently has odds for the Over at $2.14 and the Under at $1.79.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the 2.5-goal Over/Under has a 56% chance of staying Under.
Argentina vs Mexico Betting Tips
- Result: Mexico at $6.60 with Betfair (1.7% edge)
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 at $1.79 with Betfair (56% probability)
Stats Insider's best bets are based on detailed simulations and betting experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Betting on Mexico to win is our recommended option because of the 1.7% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term profitability.
For the best betting value throughout the World Cup 2022, we recommend betting with Betfair.
Argentina vs Mexico Best Bets
Click or tap on See Matchup for more.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Mexico vs Argentina at the FIFA World Cup, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Mexico vs Argentina Goalscorers
Who will score a goal in Mexico vs Argentina? The data is in.
The most likely first goal scorer and most likely anytime goal scorers for both Mexico and Argentina are listed below.
According to Stats Insider, Lautaro Martínez is the most likely player to score the first goal in Mexico vs Argentina.
Martínez has a 19.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Lusail Iconic Stadium, while the Argentina star has a 46.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Mexico
- Rogelio Mori: 11.4% probability
- Hirving Lozano: 9.5% probability
- Alexis Vega: 8.0% probability
- Héctor Herrera: 3.0% probability
- Carlos Rodríguez: 2.1% probability
Argentina
- Lautaro Martínez: 19.3% probability
- Lionel Messi: 16.9% probability
- Ángel Di María: 11.0% probability
- Papu Gómez: 9.3% probability
- Rodrigo De Paul: 3.5% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Mexico
- Rogelio Mori: 26.2% probability
- Hirving Lozano: 21.6% probability
- Alexis Vega: 19.1% probability
- Héctor Herrera: 7.5% probability
- Luis Chávez: 4.6% probability
Argentina
- Lautaro Martínez: 46.2% probability
- Lionel Messi: 42.0% probability
- Ángel Di María: 31.1% probability
- Papu Gómez: 25.5% probability
- Leandro Paredes: 9.8% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest expert predictions before the Mexico vs Argentina match at Lusail Iconic Stadium.
As always, see our Value Summary to get the best tips on every World Cup 2022 game, plus a host of other sports that Stats Insider offers predictions on.
How to Watch Argentina vs Mexico World Cup 2022 in Australia
Sunday's FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Mexico at Lusail Iconic Stadium in Qatar is scheduled to begin at 6:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Game: Argentina vs Mexico
- Date: Sunday 27 November 2022
- Time: 6:00am AEDT
- Channel: Live and free on SBS and SBS On Demand
All dates and times in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
More About World Cup 2022
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Looking to use this free information and start betting on the World Cup 2022 now? Betfair has the best range of markets for the World Cup 2022.
