Argentina vs Mexico World Cup 2022 Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips
Nov 22, 2022, 5:53PMArgentina faces Mexico in Group C of the FIFA World Cup 2022 at Lusail Iconic Stadium in Qatar on Sunday, commencing at 6:00am AEDT.
The FIFA World Cup, held every four years, is recognised as the greatest soccer tournament in the world, and Argentina and Mexico are among the 32 countries taking part in Qatar this year.
Group C at the 2022 World Cup features Argentina, Saudi Arabia, Mexico, and Poland. The top two nations from each group advance to the knockout phase.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Argentina vs Mexico, as well as the latest betting odds via Betfair, are detailed in this article.
Who will win? Argentina vs Mexico
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Sunday's Argentina-Mexico World Cup 2022 game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives Argentina a 59.9% chance of winning, Mexico a 16.0% chance of winning, and the draw a 24.0% chance of occurring.
More: Argentina vs Mexico Simulated 10K Times
Argentina vs Mexico World Cup Odds
- Result: Argentina $1.58, Mexico $7.60, Draw $4.10
- Over/Under 2.5 Goals: Over $2.26, Under $1.78
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Betfair currently has Argentina's odds to win at $1.58, with Mexico's odds to win at $7.60, and odds for the draw at $4.10 if you think the game will be even after 90 minutes.
For Over/Under 2.5 goals in the Mexico vs Argentina match, Betfair currently has odds for the Over at $2.26 and the Under at $1.78.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the 2.5-goal Over/Under has a 57% chance of staying Under.
Argentina vs Mexico Betting Tips
- Result: Mexico at $7.60 with Betfair (2.9% edge)
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 at $1.78 with Betfair (57% probability)
These predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to give you the best possible advice 24/7.
Betting on Mexico to win is our preferred option due to the 2.9% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
For the best betting value throughout the Qatar World Cup, we recommend betting with Betfair.
Argentina vs Mexico Best Bets
Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Mexico vs Argentina at the Qatar World Cup, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Mexico vs Argentina Goalscorers
Who will score a goal in Mexico vs Argentina? The data is in.
The most likely first goal scorer and most likely anytime goal scorers for both Mexico and Argentina are listed below.
According to Stats Insider, Lautaro Martínez is the most likely player to score the first goal in Mexico vs Argentina.
Martínez has a 19.3% chance of scoring the first goal at Lusail Iconic Stadium, while the Argentina star has a 46.2% chance of netting an anytime goal.
Scroll down for our complete list of first and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Probabilities
Mexico
- Rogelio Mori: 11.4% probability
- Hirving Lozano: 9.5% probability
- Alexis Vega: 8.0% probability
- Hirving Lozano: 7.1% probability
- Alexis Vega: 6.5% probability
Argentina
- Lautaro Martínez: 19.3% probability
- Lionel Messi: 16.9% probability
- Lautaro Martínez: 16.5% probability
- Lionel Messi: 15.8% probability
- Ángel Di María: 11.0% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Probabilities
Mexico
- Rogelio Mori: 26.2% probability
- Hirving Lozano: 21.6% probability
- Alexis Vega: 19.1% probability
- Hirving Lozano: 17.7% probability
- Alexis Vega: 16.0% probability
Argentina
- Lautaro Martínez: 46.2% probability
- Lionel Messi: 42.0% probability
- Lautaro Martínez: 35.5% probability
- Lionel Messi: 33.0% probability
- Ángel Di María: 31.1% probability
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Mexico vs Argentina game at Lusail Iconic Stadium.
As always, check out our Value Summary for the best tips on every World Cup 2022 match, as well as a host of other sports that Stats Insider offers predictions on.
How to Watch Argentina vs Mexico World Cup 2022 in Australia
Sunday's FIFA World Cup action between Argentina and Mexico at Lusail Iconic Stadium in Qatar is scheduled to commence at 6:00am AEDT on Sunday.
- Game: Argentina vs Mexico
- Date: Sunday 27 November 2022
- Time: 6:00am AEDT
- Channel: Live and free on SBS and SBS On Demand
All dates and times mentioned in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
More About World Cup 2022
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