Argentina World Cup 2022 Predictions, Betting Tips, Odds and Best Bets

Last updated: Dec 14, 2022, 10:36AM | Published: Nov 9, 2022, 12:01PM

Stats Insider, Australia's leading predictive analytics site, has used powerful soccer modelling to determine how likely it is that Argentina can progress to each stage of the FIFA World Cup 2022.

Argentina has been drawn in Group C of the World Cup 2022, with games against Poland, Mexico and Saudi Arabia determining whether they will make the knockout stage.

Argentina FIFA World Cup 2022 Fixtures (AEDT)

Argentina vs Saudi Arabia: 22 November, 9:00PM
Argentina vs Mexico: 27 November, 6:00AM
Argentina vs Poland: 1 December, 6:00AM

Argentina has been in every World Cup since 1970, winning the tournament twice and finishing runner-up another two times over that run. The country's last win came in 1986 however, with Lionel Messi still looking for his first ever World Cup win.

Argentina World Cup Predictions

Messi's squad is one of the top five favourites to win the World Cup in 2022 with Stats Insider's model projecting Argentina as the winner in 8.8% of its simulations.

RUN YOUR OWN: FIFA World Cup 2022 Simulator

Argentina’s Odds for World Cup 2022

Argentina is a 60.6% favourite to win Group C and has odds of 51.5% of making the quarterfinals, 31.1% of making the semifinals and 16.8% of making the final.

Argentina could be in for a tough round of 16 game with its most likely opponents being Denmark (40.6%) and France (37.7%). Brazil is Argentina's most likely semifinals opponent at 25.0%.

Stage of World Cup	SI Probability	Betfair Back Odds
Overall winner	8.8%	$7.20
Make the final	16.8%	$4.50
Make the semi final	31.1%	$2.68
Make the qtr final	51.5%	$1.73
Make the round of 16	84.9%	$1.11
Win Group C	60.6%	$1.45

Odds and probabilities correct as of November 10th.

Argentina World Cup 2022 Best Bets

Argentina's first World Cup 2022 game comes against Saudi Arabia, with our model projecting them as having a 77.5% win probability, meaning any odds of $1.30 or better would be a bet.

MORE: FIFA World Cup 2022 Golden Ball Preview

Betting Tips For Argentina

At the time of writing, you can bet on the total goals to be under 2.5 in Argentina vs Saudi Arabia with a 3% edge on the market. Our implied fair odds at $2.10, whilst you can get $2.22 on the Betfair Exchange.

With the latest odds from Betfair below, check out the best bets to make on France Argentina vs Saudi Arabia, including head-to-head, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

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Stats Insider is your home of World Cup 2022 predictions with the latest FIFA World Cup 2022 news, predictions for every World Cup 2022 game, and futures odds for each stage of the World Cup 2022.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.