Aston Villa vs Burnley Prediction and Tips - 31 December 2023

Last updated: Dec 30, 2023, 3:00PM | Published: Dec 23, 2023, 5:48PM

Aston Villa will faces Burnley in Premier League action at Villa Park on Sunday, beginning at 2:00am AEDT.

Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Aston Villa vs Burnley game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Aston Villa vs Burnley

Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Sunday's Aston Villa-Burnley Premier League match 10,000 times.

Our leading predictive analytics model gives Aston Villa a 67.5% chance of winning, Burnley a 14.1% chance of winning, and the draw an 18.4% chance of happening.

More: Aston Villa vs Burnley Match Centre

Aston Villa vs Burnley: Odds

The current Betfair betting odds in Australia for Sunday's Premier League clash at Villa Park are listed below:

Head to Head: Aston Villa $1.43, Burnley $8.40, Draw $5.30
Total (Over/Under 2.5 Goals): Over $1.57, Under $2.72

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Aston Villa at $1.43 and Burnley at $8.40.

Lastly, Betfair currently has odds of $5.30 for a draw if you think both sides will be all square after 90 minutes.

The Over/Under for total goals scored sits at 2.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.57 and odds for the Under at $2.72.

The best site to place a bet on the Aston Villa vs Burnley game is Betfair, where you are able to wager against other sports fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Best Bets Today for All Sports

Aston Villa vs Burnley: Betting Tips

Head to Head: Burnley at $8.40 with Betfair (2.2% edge)
Total Goals: Under 2.5 at $2.72 with Betfair (0.7% edge)

Stats Insider's Aston Villa vs Burnley best bets are based on complex modelling and wagering intelligence to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

Betting on Burnley to win is the best option due to the 2.2% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the sportsbooks' odds.

Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability when punting on sports.

Despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 2.5 is our best bet because of the better odds ($2.72) that are available from Betfair.

Our Aston Villa vs Burnley Lay Bet

What's better than using one of the world's leading predictive analytics models to bet on the Premier League? Now, with this useful information, you can also bet on something not to happen.

After simulating this match-up 10,000 times, we have identified Aston Villa to win at $1.42 or shorter as our model's best lay bet in Betfair's Match Odds market, meaning that if Burnley wins or the game is a draw, your lay bet will be successful.

Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Aston Villa vs Burnley: Prediction

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Aston Villa vs Burnley on Sunday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Aston Villa vs Burnley match at Villa Park.

As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every Premier League match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Aston Villa vs Burnley: Preview

The Premier League match-up between Aston Villa and Burnley at Villa Park is scheduled to begin at 2:00am AEDT on Sunday.

Teams: Aston Villa vs Burnley
Date: Sunday 31 December 2023
Time: 2:00am AEDT
Venue: Villa Park (Birmingham)

All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our Aston Villa vs Burnley predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our Premier League tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.

If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.