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Astros vs Guardians Prediction and MLB Tips - 3 May 2024

The Houston Astros will take on the Cleveland Guardians in MLB action at Minute Maid Park on Friday, starting at 10:10am AEST.

The Astros will send Spencer Arrighetti (0-3, 10.97 ERA) to the mound, while the Guardians are going with Logan Allen (3-1, 5.46 ERA).

Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Astros vs Guardians game, as well as the latest betting odds in Australia, are detailed below.

Who Will Win: Astros vs Guardians

Using detailed computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Houston-Cleveland MLB game 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Astros a 55% chance of defeating the Guardians at Minute Maid Park.

More: Astros vs Guardians Match Centre

Astros vs Guardians: Odds

The latest betting odds in Australia for Friday's MLB game at Minute Maid Park are shown here:

  • Head to Head: Astros $1.71, Guardians $2.15
  • Line: Astros -1.5 ($2.50), Guardians +1.5 ($1.53)
  • Total (Over/Under 8.5 Runs): Over $1.91, Under $1.91

Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has the Astros at $1.71 and the Guardians at $2.15.

The Astros are 1.5-run favourites against the Guardians, with odds of $2.50 currently available at TAB.

For the underdog Guardians (+1.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.53.

The Over/Under for total runs scored is set at 8.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.

According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Guardians (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 8.5 runs has a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports

Astros vs Guardians: Best Bets

  • Head to Head: Cleveland at $2.15 with (0.5% edge)
  • Line: Guardians +1.5 at $1.53 with TAB (63% probability)
  • Total Runs: Under 8.5 at $1.91 with TAB

These Astros vs Guardians best bets are based on world-class simulations and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.

While the Astros have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Guardians to win is our recommended option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.

Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.

Furthermore, despite the Over being more likely to hit in this game, Under 8.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($1.91) that are available from TAB.

Astros vs Guardians: Prediction

Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Houston vs Cleveland on Friday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting analysis before the Houston vs Cleveland match-up at Minute Maid Park.

As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips on every MLB game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Astros vs Guardians: Preview

The match-up between the Astros and Guardians at Minute Maid Park is scheduled to begin at 10:10am AEST on Friday.

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.

Our Houston vs Cleveland predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our MLB tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our MLB predictions for betting purposes, it's vital to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

More on MLB

Stats Insider is your home for betting on the MLB in Australia, with the latest MLB betting news, predictions for every MLB game, and futures odds for the MLB.

Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.

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