BBL Markets Preview Game 36: Sixers v Heat

Last updated: Jan 19, 2019, 8:46PM | Published: Jan 19, 2019, 8:46PM

Welcome to Stats Insider's Big Bash Market Preview - your daily look at what the model (and my gut!) are seeing in the main markets (and a few exotics) each and every day of BBL08!

A big, beautiful green smiley face is greeting us this evening at the SCG with the Stats Insider model finding some big value for the visitors tonight!

MATCH SUMMARY: Sixers v Heat

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Head to Head

No value in the main H2H market with the model aligned with bookmakers installing the Heat as $1.70 favourites. I don't mind the Sixers at that price against what is a sub-par Heat bowling attack - I normally don't like betting this market but eventually their top order have to fire surely.

Most Sixes

This is where the big value play is from the model tonight with a huge 8% edge for the Heat for most sixes.

High Bat

Going back to Ross ($10) and Cutting ($15) who would both have been in great spots last start had the lights not gone out at the Gabba.

Yes Lynn is dominant but at $3 he's just too short, you have to take the value where it is offered and if Lynn is in early and goes cheaply these two guys are very likely to bat 10+ overs at big odds.

For the home side it just feels like a Daniel Hughes ($4) night. If he can get through Mujeeb's first few overs there are no other Heat bowlers that will trouble him.

Player of the Match

Like Dan Hughes here a lot and don't leave out Steve O'Keefe on his favourite deck at $21's.

For the Heat the value play is Cutting who last start was well on his way with 2 wickets and plenty of time to bat.

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Dan Fraser

Former ABC Journo and Champion Data stats nerd who loves his fantasy sport, punting, footy, cricket, golf - you get the point. More than prepared to take driver off the deck from 250 out (especially if it's for a beverage or two!) but will also happily take my medicine when the occasion calls for it. Pumped to be part of the Stats Insider team - if it's value and it's footy, I'm all over it in 2019 folks!