BBL Markets Preview Game 42: Stars v Heat

Welcome to Stats Insider's Big Bash Market Preview - your daily look at what the model (and my gut!) are seeing in the main markets (and a few exotics) each and every day of BBL08! 

After two days off the BBL is back to help punters keen to get an edge tonight as the Stars host the Heat at the MCG.

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MATCH PREDICTIONS: Stars v Heat

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Head to Head

The Stars are 55% favourites with the model which makes the Heat slight value (3%) relative to their price at the bookies but no suggested bet in the main market from the Stats Insider model tonight. 

High Bat

Markets have worked out that when Lynn fails, Cutting goes well so unfortunately his $15 price has come into $11's. I still like it though he will get every opportunity tonight. Pierson ($7) and Ross ($8) also well worth a look. 

Stoinis at $4 is very hard to go past tonight. he is in sensational form and the Heat don't really have the bowlers who will trouble him. Glen Maxwell is at $5.50 tonight which seems overs.

Most Wickets

Dan Worrall at $5's is solid if he plays, can swing the ball and could have a couple of early wickets tonight but if that does happen, it just gives Bravo ($4) access to the Heat tail end which makes it very hard for him not to clean up.

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