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BBL Markets Preview Game 53: Heat v Stars

Welcome to Stats Insider's Big Bash Market Preview - your daily look at what the model (and my gut!) are seeing in the main markets (and a few exotics) each and every day of BBL08! 

Despite the best efforts of both sides throughout the season, there is a finals berth up for grabs for the winner tonight as Brisbane say farewell to Baz McCullum in his final match at the Gabba. 

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MATCH PREDICTIONS: Heat v Stars

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No Suggested Bets Early

The model has identified small edges for the Stars across multiple markets this morning but no suggested bets as of time of writing. As always make sure you check back into the match page closer to the toss to see what value there is to be found. 

High Bat

Really Like the $11 about Alex Ross tonight against a spin-dominant Stars side that will also bowl a lot of slower balls. Just the type of bowling that suits Ross. In form too. Solid value if you think early wickets for the Heat are likely (which I do). Peirson at $13's also appeals. 

For the Stars I really like Pete Handscombe for a little bit more value. Stoinis is the obvous choice at $3.25 but Handscombe at $4.50 does offer good value for a first drop against the worst bowling attack in the comp. 

Player of the Match

McCullum will win this if the Heat win and he gets any sizeable score, but much more likely is Marcus Stoinis getting 2 wickets and 50 runs. Love him tonight. 


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Dan Fraser

Former ABC Journo and Champion Data stats nerd who loves his fantasy sport, punting, footy, cricket, golf - you get the point. More than prepared to take driver off the deck from 250 out (especially if it's for a beverage or two!) but will also happily take my medicine when the occasion calls for it. Pumped to be part of the Stats Insider team - if it's value and it's footy, I'm all over it in 2019 folks!

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