BBL Markets Preview: Semi Final #1 Hurricanes v Stars
Last updated: Feb 14, 2019, 12:51AM | Published: Feb 14, 2019, 12:06AM
Welcome to Stats Insider's Big Bash Market Preview - your daily look at what the model (and my gut!) are seeing in the main markets (and a few exotics) each and every day of BBL08!
Plenty of value in the exotics and a solid edge from the Stats Insider model for the first of two Big Bash finals as the Hurricanes host the Stars at Bellerive Oval.
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MATCH PREDICTIONS: Hurricanes v Stars
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Head to Head
The bookies have this one spot on according to the model, with the Hurricanes coming up trumps in 55% of match simulations. Nothing to see here.
Fall of First Wicket
The money train that is Ben Dunk is pulling into the station for at least one more stop with the model highlighting some value about the Stars at the Under 22.5 runs mark. Dunk has gone cheaply in all but two games this season and the model has had a great time collecting on his early dismissals. One last time for us, Dunky!
High Bat
$6.50 for Benny McDermott is just too good to pass on for a second drop who is capable of staying the course or accelerating from ball #1. Can't pass on the $9 about Nic Maddinson either. Yes, he is out of form but is batting #5 and should be valued closer to $6 so i'm taking on the market there as well.
Player of the Match
The two international spinners are both great value tonight. Ahmad at $17's and Lamichanne at $15's. Both could finish with 3 wickets and great economy quite easily which would be enough to take this market down.
Don't mind James Faulkner at $17's either in a revenge narrative against the old side.
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