Bears vs Broncos Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 4, 2023
Last updated: Oct 1, 2023, 5:02PM | Published: Sep 26, 2023, 11:55AM
The Chicago Bears square off with the Denver Broncos in NFL Week 4 action at Soldier Field on Monday, starting at 4:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Bears vs Broncos, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who Will Win: Bears vs Broncos
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Chicago-Denver NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Broncos a 64% chance of winning against the Bears in Week 4 of the NFL season.
More: Bears vs Broncos Simulated 10,000 Times
Bears vs Broncos: Odds
The latest betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Soldier Field are shown here:
- Head to Head: Bears $2.35, Broncos $1.64
- Line: Bears +3 ($1.91), Broncos -3 ($1.95)
- Total (Over/Under 47 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Bears at $2.35 and the Broncos at $1.64.
The Bears are listed as 3-point underdogs against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the favourite Broncos (-3) to cover the line, PointsBet currently has odds of $1.95.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 47 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Broncos (-3) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 47 points has a 56% chance of staying Under.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Bears vs Broncos: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Denver at $1.64 with bet365 (64% probability) 🔥
- Line: Broncos -3 at $1.95 with PointsBet (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 47 at $1.91 with bet365 (56% probability)
If you see a 🔥, you know it's one of our best tips of the day across all sports.
Today's Bears vs Broncos betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7.
Bears vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bears vs Broncos at Soldier Field in Week 4 has the Broncos winning 24-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Chicago vs Denver in Week 4, including pre-game predictions, the best betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Bears vs Broncos: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs Broncos? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Denver's Javonte Williams is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bears vs Broncos.
Williams has an 11.7% chance of scoring the first TD at Soldier Field, while the Broncos RB has a 48.2% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bears First TD Tips
- Justin Fields: 10.9% probability
- Roschon Johnson: 8.6% probability
- DJ Moore: 6.4% probability
- Khalil Herbert: 5.5% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 4.9% probability
Broncos First TD Tips
- Javonte Williams: 11.7% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 9.9% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 8.9% probability
- Samaje Perine: 5.2% probability
- Marvin Mims: 4.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bears Anytime TD Tips
- Justin Fields: 47.3% probability
- Roschon Johnson: 38.9% probability
- DJ Moore: 30.0% probability
- Khalil Herbert: 26.4% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 23.4% probability
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- Javonte Williams: 48.2% probability
- Jerry Jeudy: 41.4% probability
- Courtland Sutton: 38.5% probability
- Samaje Perine: 25.5% probability
- Marvin Mims: 21.1% probability
Bears-Broncos Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Justin Fields is projected for 208 passing yards, while the Broncos' Russell Wilson is expected to throw for 253 yards.
Bears Starting QB
- Justin Fields: 208 projected passing yards
Broncos Starting QB
- Russell Wilson: 253 projected passing yards
Bears Rushing Yards
- Justin Fields: 64 projected yards
- Khalil Herbert: 39 projected yards
- Roschon Johnson: 38 projected yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- Javonte Williams: 50 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 25 projected yards
- Russell Wilson: 17 projected yards
Bears Receiving Yards
- DJ Moore: 56 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 45 projected yards
- Cole Kmet: 37 projected yards
- Roschon Johnson: 17 projected yards
- Khalil Herbert: 15 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Jerry Jeudy: 60 projected yards
- Courtland Sutton: 57 projected yards
- Adam Trautman: 29 projected yards
- Marvin Mims: 26 projected yards
- Javonte Williams: 19 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting tips before the Chicago vs Denver game at Soldier Field.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips for every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Bears vs Broncos: Week 4 Preview
The NFL Week 4 match-up between the Bears and Broncos at Soldier Field is scheduled to begin at 4:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Chicago Bears vs Denver Broncos
- Date: Monday 2 October 2023
- Time: 4:00am AEDT
- Venue: Soldier Field
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Chicago vs Denver are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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