Bears vs Packers Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 1, 2023
Last updated: Sep 10, 2023, 8:26PM | Published: Aug 31, 2023, 1:26AM
The Chicago Bears play the Green Bay Packers in NFL Week 1 action at Soldier Field on Monday, starting at 6:25am AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for Bears vs Packers, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Bears vs Packers
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Chicago-Green Bay NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bears a 51% chance of winning against the Packers in Week 1 of the NFL season.
More: Bears vs Packers Match Centre
Bears vs Packers: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Soldier Field are listed below:
- Head to Head: Bears $1.80, Packers $2.05
- Line: Bears -1.5 ($1.91), Packers +1.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 41 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Bears at $1.80 and the Packers at $2.05.
The Bears are 1.5-point favourites against the Packers, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Packers (+1.5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Bears vs Packers is set at 41 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Packers (+1.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 41 points has a 55% chance of staying Under.
More: Live Win Probabilities for All Sports
Bears vs Packers: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Green Bay at $2.05 with bet365 (2.4% edge)
- Line: Packers +1.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (54% probability)
- Total Points: Under 41 at $1.91 with bet365 (55% probability)
Today's Bears vs Packers betting tips are based on detailed modelling and betting experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bears have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Packers to win is our recommended option due to the 2.4% edge identified when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Bears vs Packers: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted score for Bears vs Packers at Soldier Field in Week 1 is Packers 20-20 Bears.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Chicago vs Green Bay in Week 1, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Bears vs Packers: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Bears vs Packers? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Chicago's Justin Fields is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bears vs Packers.
Fields has a 10.7% chance of getting in for six first at Soldier Field, while the Bears QB has a 41.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bears First TD Tips
- Justin Fields: 10.7% probability
- Khalil Herbert: 7.9% probability
- DJ Moore: 7.6% probability
- D'Onta Foreman: 5.3% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 4.5% probability
Packers First TD Tips
- Aaron Jones: 10.2% probability
- AJ Dillon: 7.9% probability
- Jordan Love: 6.9% probability
- Jayden Reed: 5.9% probability
- Romeo Doubs: 5.4% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bears Anytime TD Tips
- Justin Fields: 41.7% probability
- Khalil Herbert: 31.8% probability
- DJ Moore: 31.3% probability
- D'Onta Foreman: 21.3% probability
- Darnell Mooney: 19.4% probability
Packers Anytime TD Tips
- Aaron Jones: 40.9% probability
- AJ Dillon: 32.0% probability
- Jordan Love: 28.5% probability
- Jayden Reed: 24.5% probability
- Romeo Doubs: 23.2% probability
Bears-Packers Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bears' Justin Fields is projected for 203 passing yards. The Packers' Jordan Love is expected to throw for 191 yards.
Bears Starting QB
- Justin Fields: 203 projected passing yards
Packers Starting QB
- Jordan Love: 191 projected passing yards
Bears Rushing Yards
- Khalil Herbert: 64 projected yards
- Justin Fields: 63 projected yards
- D'Onta Foreman: 38 projected yards
Packers Rushing Yards
- Aaron Jones: 77 projected yards
- AJ Dillon: 40 projected yards
- Jordan Love: 21 projected yards
Bears Receiving Yards
- DJ Moore: 63 projected yards
- Darnell Mooney: 44 projected yards
- Cole Kmet: 35 projected yards
- Robert Tonyan: 19 projected yards
- Chase Claypool: 19 projected yards
Packers Receiving Yards
- Jayden Reed: 44 projected yards
- Romeo Doubs: 37 projected yards
- Luke Musgrave: 30 projected yards
- Aaron Jones: 21 projected yards
- Dontayvion Wicks: 19 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting analysis before the Chicago vs Green Bay match-up at Soldier Field.
As always, see our Best Bets to get the best tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Bears vs Packers: Week 1 Preview
The NFL Week 1 game between the Bears and Packers at Soldier Field is scheduled to commence at 6:25am AEST on Monday.
- Teams: Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers
- Date: Monday 11 September 2023
- Time: 6:25am AEST
- Venue: Soldier Field
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
Our predictions for Chicago vs Green Bay have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
More on NFL
Stats Insider is your go-to source for betting on the NFL in Australia, with the latest NFL betting news, tips for every NFL game, and Super Bowl probabilities for the NFL.
