Bengals vs Commanders Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2024
Last updated: Sep 24, 2024, 12:10AM | Published: Sep 17, 2024, 4:02AM
The Cincinnati Bengals will sqaure off with the Washington Commanders in NFL Week 3 action at Paycor Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 10:15am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Bengals vs Commanders game, along with the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Cincinnati vs Washington NFL game 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bengals a 73% chance of beating the Commanders in Week 3 of the NFL season.
Bengals vs Commanders: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at Paycor Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Bengals $1.28, Commanders $3.80
- Line: Bengals -7.5 ($1.91), Commanders +7.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 45.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Bengals at $1.28 and the Commanders at $3.80.
The Bengals are listed as 7.5-point favourites against the Commanders, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Commanders (+7.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 45.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Commanders (+7.5) are predicted to cover the line 56% of the time, while the 45.5-point over/under is expected to go over 51% of the time.
Bengals vs Commanders: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Washington at $3.80 with Bet365
- Line: Commanders +7.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Over 45.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Bengals have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Commanders to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Bengals vs Commanders: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bengals vs Commanders at Paycor Stadium in Week 3 is the Bengals winning 26-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Cincinnati vs Washington game in Week 3, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Bengals vs Commanders prediction.
Bengals vs Commanders: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Bengals vs Commanders? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Cincinnati's Zack Moss is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bengals vs Commanders.
Moss has a 12.1% chance of getting in for six first at Paycor Stadium, while the Bengals RB has a 48.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bengals First TD Tips
- Zack Moss: 12.1% probability
- Ja'Marr Chase: 11.8% probability
- Tee Higgins: 11.2% probability
- Mike Gesicki: 5.1% probability
- Chase Brown: 5.0% probability
Commanders First TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 9.2% probability
- Brian Robinson: 9.0% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 6.0% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 5.2% probability
- Zach Ertz: 2.7% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bengals Anytime TD Tips
- Zack Moss: 48.9% probability
- Ja'Marr Chase: 48.0% probability
- Tee Higgins: 46.1% probability
- Chase Brown: 24.5% probability
- Mike Gesicki: 23.1% probability
Commanders Anytime TD Tips
- Jayden Daniels: 40.5% probability
- Brian Robinson: 39.5% probability
- Austin Ekeler: 27.3% probability
- Terry McLaurin: 25.9% probability
- Noah Brown: 13.6% probability
Bengals-Commanders Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bengals' Joe Burrow is projected for 277 passing yards. The Commanders' Jayden Daniels is expected to throw for 180 yards.
Bengals Starting QB
- Joe Burrow: 277 projected passing yards
Commanders Starting QB
- Jayden Daniels: 180 projected passing yards
Bengals Rushing Yards
- Zack Moss: 54 projected yards
- Chase Brown: 22 projected yards
- Joe Burrow: 12 projected yards
Commanders Rushing Yards
- Brian Robinson: 53 projected yards
- Jayden Daniels: 40 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 19 projected yards
Bengals Receiving Yards
- Ja'Marr Chase: 74 projected yards
- Tee Higgins: 58 projected yards
- Mike Gesicki: 30 projected yards
- Andrei Iosivas: 28 projected yards
- Chase Brown: 23 projected yards
Commanders Receiving Yards
- Terry McLaurin: 58 projected yards
- Luke McCaffrey: 22 projected yards
- Zach Ertz: 21 projected yards
- Austin Ekeler: 19 projected yards
- Dyami Brown: 17 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so keep checking this page for the latest betting predictions before the Cincinnati vs Washington match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Bengals vs Commanders: Week 3 Essential Details
The NFL Week 3 game between the Bengals and Commanders at Paycor Stadium is scheduled to start at 10:15am AEST on Tuesday.
- Teams: Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders
- Date: Tuesday 24 September 2024
- Time: 10:15am AEST
- Venue: Paycor Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Cincinnati vs Washington predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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