Bills vs Bengals Prediction and Odds - NFL Divisional Round 2023
Last updated: Jan 17, 2023, 1:50AM | Published: Jan 17, 2023, 1:50AM
The Buffalo Bills take on the Cincinnati Bengals in the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs at Highmark Stadium on Monday, starting at 7:00am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Bills vs Bengals, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured in this article.
Who will win? Bills vs Bengals
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Buffalo-Cincinnati NFL clash 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bills a 67% chance of defeating the Bengals at Highmark Stadium.
More: Buffalo vs Cincinnati Simulated 10,000 Times
Bills vs Bengals Current Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL clash at Highmark Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Bills $1.40, Bengals $3.10
- Line: Bills -6 ($1.91), Bengals +6 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, bet365 currently has the Bills to win at $1.40 and the Bengals to win at $3.10.
The Bills are listed as -6 favourites against the Bengals, with odds of $1.91 currrently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Bengals (+6) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for Cincinnati vs Buffalo has been set at 48 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Bengals (+6) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 48 points has a 52% chance of going Over.
More: Super Bowl 2023 Probabilities and Odds
Bengals vs Bills NFL Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Bengals at $3.10 with bet365 (1.6% edge)
- Line: Bengals +6 at $1.91 with bet365 (56% probability)
- Total: Over 48 at $1.91 with bet365 (52% probability)
These Cincinnati vs Buffalo predictions are based on detailed modelling and wagering experience to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bills have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Bengals to win is our recommended option because of the 1.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Bengals vs Bills NFL Best Bets
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Cincinnati vs Buffalo at Highmark Stadium this Monday has the Bills winning 26-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Cincinnati vs Buffalo on Monday, including pre-game predictions, prop betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Bills vs Bengals TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs Bengals? The data is in.
The most likely first touchdown scorer and most likely anytime touchdown scorer for both the Bills and Bengals, as well as player prop projections, are listed below.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bills vs Bengals.
Diggs has an 11.0% chance of getting in for six first at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills WR has a 47.9% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Buffalo First TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 11.0% probability
- Josh Allen: 8.7% probability
- Gabe Davis: 7.6% probability
- Dawson Knox: 6.8% probability
- Devin Singletary: 6.4% probability
Cincinnati First TD Tips
- Joe Mixon: 10.0% probability
- Ja'Marr Chase: 9.8% probability
- Tee Higgins: 8.2% probability
- Joe Burrow: 5.9% probability
- Hayden Hurst: 3.8% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Buffalo Anytime TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 47.9% probability
- Josh Allen: 40.7% probability
- Gabe Davis: 35.8% probability
- Dawson Knox: 32.6% probability
- Devin Singletary: 31.2% probability
Cincinnati Anytime TD Tips
- Ja'Marr Chase: 44.1% probability
- Joe Mixon: 43.9% probability
- Tee Higgins: 38.0% probability
- Joe Burrow: 29.2% probability
- Hayden Hurst: 19.9% probability
Bills-Bengals Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected to have a big game with 277 passing yards. The Bengals' Joe Burrow is expected to throw for a whopping 300 yards.
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 277 projected passing yards
Bengals Starting QB
- Joe Burrow: 300 projected passing yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- Josh Allen: 49 projected yards
- Devin Singletary: 46 projected yards
- James Cook: 45 projected yards
Bengals Rushing Yards
- Joe Mixon: 53 projected yards
- Samaje Perine: 16 projected yards
- Joe Burrow: 15 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 84 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 58 projected yards
- Dawson Knox: 31 projected yards
- Isaiah McKenzie: 28 projected yards
- Cole Beasley: 19 projected yards
Bengals Receiving Yards
- Ja'Marr Chase: 112 projected yards
- Tee Higgins: 72 projected yards
- Tyler Boyd: 40 projected yards
- Hayden Hurst: 36 projected yards
- Joe Mixon: 27 projected yards
Our model updates frequently, so bookmark this article for the latest expert analysis before the Cincinnati vs Buffalo game at Highmark Stadium.
As always, see our Value Summary for the best tips for every NFL match, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Bills vs Bengals NFL 2023
Monday's action between the Bills and Bengals at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Game: Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals
- Playoff Round: NFL Divisional Round
- Date: Monday 23 January 2023
- Time: 7:00am AEDT
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise noted.
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