Bills vs Broncos Prediction and Preview - NFL Wild Card Round 2025
Last updated: Jan 9, 2025, 6:50PM | Published: Jan 6, 2025, 8:05AM
The Buffalo Bills will sqaure off with the Denver Broncos on Wild Card Weekend of the NFL Playoffs at Highmark Stadium on Monday, commencing at 5:00am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Bills vs Broncos game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Buffalo vs Denver NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Bills a 75% chance of winning against the Broncos at Highmark Stadium.
Bills vs Broncos: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Highmark Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Bills $1.22, Broncos $4.50
- Line: Bills -8.5 ($1.91), Broncos +8.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 47 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Bills at $1.22 and the Broncos at $4.50.
The Bills are 8.5-point favourites against the Broncos, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Broncos (+8.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 47 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Broncos (+8.5) are predicted to cover the line 57% of the time, while the 47-point over/under is expected to stay under 52% of the time.
Bills vs Broncos: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Denver at $4.50 with Bet365
- Line: Broncos +8.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 47 at $1.91 with Bet365
Stats Insider's Bills vs Broncos betting tips are based on complex modelling and wagering expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Bills have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Broncos to win is our preferred option due to the 2.9% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen on Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Bills vs Broncos: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bills vs Broncos at Highmark Stadium this Monday is the Bills winning 26-19.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Buffalo vs Denver game on Monday, including data-driven predictions and live win probabilitiestips.
Bills vs Broncos: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs Broncos? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Josh Allen is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bills vs Broncos.
Allen has an 11.9% chance of getting in for six first at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB has a 49.0% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills First TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 11.9% probability
- James Cook: 11.6% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 6.8% probability
- Amari Cooper: 5.5% probability
- Keon Coleman: 4.8% probability
Broncos First TD Tips
- Courtland Sutton: 9.0% probability
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 5.8% probability
- Marvin Mims: 5.3% probability
- Devaughn Vele: 4.3% probability
- Bo Nix: 4.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- James Cook: 50.0% probability
- Josh Allen: 49.0% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 31.3% probability
- Amari Cooper: 25.9% probability
- Keon Coleman: 23.9% probability
Broncos Anytime TD Tips
- Courtland Sutton: 40.3% probability
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 27.2% probability
- Marvin Mims: 25.6% probability
- Devaughn Vele: 21.1% probability
- Bo Nix: 20.4% probability
Bills-Broncos Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 250 passing yards, while the Broncos' Bo Nix is expected to throw for 198 yards.
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 250 projected passing yards
Broncos Starting QB
- Bo Nix: 198 projected passing yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 66 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 40 projected yards
- Ray Davis: 20 projected yards
Broncos Rushing Yards
- Jaleel McLaughlin: 43 projected yards
- Audric Estime: 22 projected yards
- Bo Nix: 21 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Khalil Shakir: 57 projected yards
- Amari Cooper: 42 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 38 projected yards
- Keon Coleman: 37 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 24 projected yards
Broncos Receiving Yards
- Courtland Sutton: 62 projected yards
- Marvin Mims: 44 projected yards
- Devaughn Vele: 32 projected yards
- Troy Franklin: 18 projected yards
- Javonte Williams: 15 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Buffalo vs Denver game.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Bills vs Broncos: Essential Details
The match-up between the Bills and Broncos at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 5:00am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos
- Playoff Round: NFL Wild Card Weekend
- Date: Monday 13 January 2025
- Time: 5:00am AEDT
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Buffalo vs Denver predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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