Bills vs Chiefs Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 11, 2024
Last updated: Nov 15, 2024, 1:45AM | Published: Nov 10, 2024, 11:21PM
The Buffalo Bills will face the Kansas City Chiefs in NFL Week 11 action at Highmark Stadium on Monday, commencing at 8:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Bills vs Chiefs game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Buffalo vs Kansas City NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bills a 55% chance of defeating the Chiefs at Highmark Stadium.
Bills vs Chiefs: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Highmark Stadium are shown here:
- Head to Head: Bills $1.74, Chiefs $2.15
- Line: Bills -2.5 ($1.91), Chiefs +2.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Bills at $1.74 and the Chiefs at $2.15.
The Bills are listed as 2.5-point favourites against the Chiefs, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Chiefs (+2.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Chiefs (+2.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 46-point over/under is expected to stay under 53% of the time.
Bills vs Chiefs: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Kansas City at $2.15 with Bet365
- Line: Chiefs +2.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Bills have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Chiefs to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is pivotal to achieving long-term profitability.
Bills vs Chiefs: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bills vs Chiefs at Highmark Stadium in Week 11 is the Bills winning 23-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Buffalo vs Kansas City game in Week 11, including data-driven predictions and live updatestips.
Bills vs Chiefs: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs Chiefs? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Kansas City's Kareem Hunt is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bills vs Chiefs.
Hunt has an 11.1% chance of getting in for six first at Highmark Stadium, while the Chiefs RB has a 48.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills First TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 10.8% probability
- James Cook: 8.9% probability
- Amari Cooper: 7.0% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 6.4% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 4.5% probability
Chiefs First TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 11.1% probability
- Travis Kelce: 7.8% probability
- DeAndre Hopkins: 6.7% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 4.3% probability
- Noah Gray: 3.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 44.9% probability
- James Cook: 39.2% probability
- Amari Cooper: 31.3% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 28.8% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 22.2% probability
Chiefs Anytime TD Tips
- Kareem Hunt: 48.4% probability
- Travis Kelce: 34.6% probability
- DeAndre Hopkins: 31.5% probability
- Xavier Worthy: 21.3% probability
- Noah Gray: 17.4% probability
Bills-Chiefs Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 237 passing yards, while the Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is expected to throw for 220 yards.
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 237 projected passing yards
Chiefs Starting QB
- Patrick Mahomes: 220 projected passing yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 69 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 35 projected yards
- Ray Davis: 16 projected yards
Chiefs Rushing Yards
- Kareem Hunt: 72 projected yards
- Patrick Mahomes: 18 projected yards
- Carson Steele: 9 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Amari Cooper: 58 projected yards
- Khalil Shakir: 57 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 40 projected yards
- Curtis Samuel: 25 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 22 projected yards
Chiefs Receiving Yards
- Travis Kelce: 68 projected yards
- DeAndre Hopkins: 59 projected yards
- Xavier Worthy: 35 projected yards
- Noah Gray: 24 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 24 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Buffalo vs Kansas City match-up.
As always, see our Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Bills vs Chiefs: Week 11 Essential Details
The NFL Week 11 game between the Bills and Chiefs at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: Monday 18 November 2024
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Buffalo vs Kansas City predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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