Bills vs Jaguars Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 3, 2024
Last updated: Sep 23, 2024, 11:16PM | Published: Sep 16, 2024, 11:40PM
The Buffalo Bills will take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 3 action at Highmark Stadium on Tuesday, commencing at 9:30am AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Bills vs Jaguars game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Buffalo vs Jacksonville NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Bills a 65% chance of winning against the Jaguars in Week 3 of the NFL season.
Bills vs Jaguars: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at Highmark Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Bills $1.45, Jaguars $2.80
- Line: Bills -4 ($1.91), Jaguars +4 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 46.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Bills at $1.45 and the Jaguars at $2.80.
The Bills are 4-point favourites against the Jaguars, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Jaguars (+4) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 46.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookies have got it right and both the Bills and the Jaguars have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 46.5-point over/under is expected to is also considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Bills vs Jaguars: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Jacksonville at $2.80 with Bet365
- Line: Jaguars +4 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 46.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Bills have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Jaguars to win is our recommended option due to the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen on Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Bills vs Jaguars: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bills vs Jaguars at Highmark Stadium in Week 3 is the Bills prevailing 25-21.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Buffalo vs Jacksonville game in Week 3, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
Get expert analysis from the US with Dimers' in-depth Bills vs Jaguars prediction.
Bills vs Jaguars: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs Jaguars? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Josh Allen is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bills vs Jaguars.
Allen has an 11.5% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB has a 47.6% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills First TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 11.5% probability
- James Cook: 9.2% probability
- Keon Coleman: 5.6% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 5.1% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 5.0% probability
Jaguars First TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 9.2% probability
- Brian Thomas: 6.0% probability
- Gabe Davis: 6.0% probability
- Christian Kirk: 5.8% probability
- Tank Bigsby: 5.5% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 47.6% probability
- James Cook: 40.2% probability
- Keon Coleman: 26.9% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 24.3% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 24.1% probability
Jaguars Anytime TD Tips
- Travis Etienne: 41.1% probability
- Brian Thomas: 28.9% probability
- Gabe Davis: 28.5% probability
- Christian Kirk: 27.7% probability
- Tank Bigsby: 26.5% probability
Bills-Jaguars Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 221 passing yards. The Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 236 yards.
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 221 projected passing yards
Jaguars Starting QB
- Trevor Lawrence: 236 projected passing yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 68 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 44 projected yards
- Ray Davis: 19 projected yards
Jaguars Rushing Yards
- Travis Etienne: 54 projected yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 21 projected yards
- Tank Bigsby: 19 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Khalil Shakir: 50 projected yards
- Keon Coleman: 45 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 43 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 28 projected yards
- Curtis Samuel: 22 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving Yards
- Christian Kirk: 49 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 46 projected yards
- Brian Thomas: 44 projected yards
- Brenton Strange: 33 projected yards
- Travis Etienne: 27 projected yards
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Buffalo vs Jacksonville match-up.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Bills vs Jaguars: Week 3 Essential Details
The NFL Week 3 match-up between the Bills and Jaguars at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 9:30am AEST on Tuesday.
- Teams: Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Tuesday 24 September 2024
- Time: 9:30am AEST
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Buffalo vs Jacksonville predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of experienced data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you decide to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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