Bills vs Jaguars Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 5, 2023
Last updated: Oct 8, 2023, 1:25PM | Published: Oct 3, 2023, 4:16AM
The Buffalo Bills take on the Jacksonville Jaguars in NFL Week 5 action at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Monday, beginning at 12:30am AEDT.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Bills vs Jaguars, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Bills vs Jaguars
Based on advanced computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Monday's Buffalo-Jacksonville NFL match-up 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Bills a 68% chance of beating the Jaguars at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
More: Bills vs Jaguars Match Centre
Bills vs Jaguars: Odds
The current betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium are shown below:
- Head to Head: Bills $1.42, Jaguars $3.05
- Line: Bills -5 ($1.91), Jaguars +5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, PointsBet currently has the Bills at $1.42. Meanwhile, bet365 currently has the Jaguars at $3.05.
The Bills are listed as 5-point favourites against the Jaguars, with odds of $1.91 currently on offer at bet365.
For the underdog Jaguars (+5) to cover the line, bet365 currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 48.5 with bet365, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the bookmakers have got it right and both the Bills and the Jaguars have a 50% chance of covering the line.
The 48.5-point Over/Under has a 53% chance of going Over.
More: Super Bowl Probabilities and Odds
Bills vs Jaguars: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Jacksonville at $3.05 with bet365
- Line: Jaguars +5 at $1.91 with bet365 (50% probability)
- Total Points: Over 48.5 at $1.91 with bet365 (53% probability)
Stats Insider's Bills vs Jaguars betting tips are based on detailed modelling and gambling experience to provide you with the best possible advice 24/7/365.
While the Bills have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Jaguars to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Bills vs Jaguars: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bills vs Jaguars at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in Week 5 has the Bills winning 27-22.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Buffalo vs Jacksonville in Week 5, including pre-game predictions, free betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Bills vs Jaguars: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs Jaguars? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Stefon Diggs is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bills vs Jaguars.
Diggs has an 11.0% chance of scoring the first TD at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, while the Bills WR has a 47.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for our full list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills First TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 11.0% probability
- James Cook: 8.8% probability
- Josh Allen: 7.4% probability
- Gabe Davis: 6.5% probability
- Latavius Murray: 4.0% probability
Jaguars First TD Tips
- Calvin Ridley: 7.5% probability
- Travis Etienne: 7.3% probability
- Christian Kirk: 6.9% probability
- Evan Engram: 5.7% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 5.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- Stefon Diggs: 47.4% probability
- James Cook: 39.8% probability
- Josh Allen: 35.2% probability
- Gabe Davis: 30.0% probability
- Latavius Murray: 20.2% probability
Jaguars Anytime TD Tips
- Calvin Ridley: 35.3% probability
- Travis Etienne: 34.9% probability
- Christian Kirk: 32.9% probability
- Evan Engram: 28.9% probability
- Trevor Lawrence: 26.6% probability
Bills-Jaguars Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 239 passing yards. The Jaguars' Trevor Lawrence is expected to throw for 241 yards.
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 239 projected passing yards
Jaguars Starting QB
- Trevor Lawrence: 241 projected passing yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 70 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 33 projected yards
- Damien Harris: 26 projected yards
Jaguars Rushing Yards
- Travis Etienne: 77 projected yards
- Trevor Lawrence: 19 projected yards
- Tank Bigsby: 11 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Stefon Diggs: 88 projected yards
- Gabe Davis: 49 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 32 projected yards
- Dawson Knox: 25 projected yards
- Trent Sherfield: 25 projected yards
Jaguars Receiving Yards
- Calvin Ridley: 58 projected yards
- Evan Engram: 53 projected yards
- Christian Kirk: 52 projected yards
- Zay Jones: 30 projected yards
- Travis Etienne: 22 projected yards
Our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting analysis before the Buffalo vs Jacksonville game at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every NFL game, as well as a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
Bills vs Jaguars: Week 5 Preview
The NFL Week 5 game between the Bills and Jaguars at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium is scheduled to begin at 12:30am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars
- Date: Monday 9 October 2023
- Time: 12:30am AEDT
- Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Buffalo vs Jacksonville are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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