Bills vs Patriots Prediction and Preview - NFL Week 16, 2024
Last updated: Dec 22, 2024, 9:25PM | Published: Dec 15, 2024, 6:00PM
The Buffalo Bills will sqaure off with the New England Patriots in NFL Week 16 action at Highmark Stadium on Monday, beginning at 8:25am AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Bills vs Patriots game, as well as the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips.
Who Will Win?
Using advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Monday's Buffalo vs New England NFL game 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Bills an 88% chance of beating the Patriots in Week 16 of the NFL season.
Bills vs Patriots: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds in Australia for Monday's NFL game at Highmark Stadium are listed here:
- Head to Head: Bills $1.09, Patriots $8.00
- Line: Bills -14 ($1.91), Patriots +14 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 48 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has the Bills at $1.09 and the Patriots at $8.00.
The Bills are listed as 14-point favourites against the Patriots, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Patriots (+14) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 48 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Patriots (+14) are predicted to cover the line 53% of the time, while the 48-point over/under is expected to is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Bills vs Patriots: Best Bets
- Head to Head: New England at $8.00 with Bet365
- Line: Patriots +14 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 48 at $1.91 with Bet365
While the Bills have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Patriots to win is our preferred option due to the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published here at Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Bills vs Patriots: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bills vs Patriots at Highmark Stadium in Week 16 is the Bills winning 30-17.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Buffalo vs New England game in Week 16, including data-driven predictions and expert tips.
For in-depth analysis from US experts,, check out Dimers' detailed Bills vs Patriots prediction.
Bills vs Patriots: TD Scorer Tips
Who will score the first touchdown in Bills vs Patriots? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Josh Allen is the most likely player to score the first TD in Bills vs Patriots.
Allen has a 12.3% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB has a 50.5% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.
Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.
First Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills First TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 12.3% probability
- James Cook: 11.7% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 7.2% probability
- Keon Coleman: 5.9% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 5.3% probability
Patriots First TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 7.3% probability
- Hunter Henry: 4.9% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 4.1% probability
- Drake Maye: 3.9% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 3.9% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips
Bills Anytime TD Tips
- Josh Allen: 50.5% probability
- James Cook: 49.5% probability
- Khalil Shakir: 34.0% probability
- Keon Coleman: 29.0% probability
- Dalton Kincaid: 26.0% probability
Patriots Anytime TD Tips
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 35.4% probability
- Hunter Henry: 24.3% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 21.3% probability
- DeMario Douglas: 20.4% probability
- Austin Hooper: 20.1% probability
Bills-Patriots Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 257 passing yards. The Patriots' Drake Maye is expected to throw for 208 yards.
Bills Starting QB
- Josh Allen: 257 projected passing yards
Patriots Starting QB
- Drake Maye: 208 projected passing yards
Bills Rushing Yards
- James Cook: 71 projected yards
- Josh Allen: 37 projected yards
- Ray Davis: 17 projected yards
Patriots Rushing Yards
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 55 projected yards
- Drake Maye: 26 projected yards
- Antonio Gibson: 12 projected yards
Bills Receiving Yards
- Khalil Shakir: 68 projected yards
- Amari Cooper: 48 projected yards
- Dalton Kincaid: 45 projected yards
- Keon Coleman: 45 projected yards
- Mack Hollins: 25 projected yards
Patriots Receiving Yards
- DeMario Douglas: 45 projected yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 43 projected yards
- Hunter Henry: 41 projected yards
- Kayshon Boutte: 39 projected yards
- Austin Hooper: 28 projected yards
Remember, our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting predictions before the Buffalo vs New England game.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every NFL game, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Bills vs Patriots: Week 16 Essential Details
The NFL Week 16 match-up between the Bills and Patriots at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to begin at 8:25am AEDT on Monday.
- Teams: Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots
- Date: Monday 23 December 2024
- Time: 8:25am AEDT
- Venue: Highmark Stadium
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
Our Buffalo vs New England predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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