Bills vs Steelers Prediction and Preview - NFL Wild Card Round 2024

Last updated: Jan 15, 2024, 9:30PM | Published: Jan 8, 2024, 6:46AM

The Buffalo Bills will face the Pittsburgh Steelers on Wild Card Weekend of the NFL Playoffs at Highmark Stadium on Tuesday, starting at 8:30am AEDT.

Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Bills vs Steelers game, plus the latest betting odds and touchdown scorer tips, are featured below.

Who Will Win: Bills vs Steelers

Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Tuesday's Buffalo-Pittsburgh NFL match-up 10,000 times.

Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Bills an 85% chance of beating the Steelers at Highmark Stadium.

More: Bills vs Steelers Match Centre

Bills vs Steelers: Odds

The latest Betfair betting odds in Australia for Tuesday's NFL game at Highmark Stadium are listed below:

Head to Head: Bills $1.20, Steelers $5.80
Line: Bills -10 ($2.04), Steelers +10 ($1.94)
Total (Over/Under 39.5 Points): Over $1.98, Under $2.00

Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.

Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has the Bills at $1.20 and the Steelers at $5.80.

The Bills are listed as 10-point favourites against the Steelers, with odds of $2.04 currently on offer at Betfair.

For the underdog Steelers (+10) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.94.

The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 39.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.98 and odds for the Under at $2.00.

According to Stats Insider's model, the Steelers (+10) have a 53% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 39.5 points has a 51% chance of staying Under.

The best site for placing bets on the Bills vs Steelers game is Betfair, where you are able to bet against other NFL fans instead of using a traditional bookmaker.

More: Super Bowl 2024 Probabilities and Odds

Bills vs Steelers: Best Bets

Head to Head: Buffalo at $1.20 with Betfair (85% probability)
Line: Steelers +10 at $1.94 with Betfair (53% probability)
Total Points: Under 39.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (51% probability)

These Bills vs Steelers best bets are based on world-class modelling and gambling experience to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.

What's better than using one of the world's top predictive analytics models to bet on the NFL? Now, you can use this helpful information to give you an edge when betting on something not to happen.

Before you begin, explore our comprehensive guide to lay betting on Betfair in Australia for expert tips and insights.

Bills vs Steelers: Prediction

Stats Insider's predicted final score for Bills vs Steelers at Highmark Stadium this Tuesday has the Bills winning 24-14.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Stats Insider has full coverage of Buffalo vs Pittsburgh on Tuesday, including pre-game predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.

Bills vs Steelers: TD Scorer Tips

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Bills vs Steelers? The data is in.

According to Stats Insider, Buffalo's Josh Allen is the most likely player to score the first touchdown in Bills vs Steelers.

Allen has a 19.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Highmark Stadium, while the Bills QB has a 63.7% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.

Scroll down for our complete list of first touchdown scorer and anytime touchdown scorer probabilities.

First Touchdown Scorer Tips

Bills First TD Tips

Josh Allen: 19.9% probability
James Cook: 14.0% probability
Stefon Diggs: 10.0% probability
Dalton Kincaid: 6.5% probability
Khalil Shakir: 4.9% probability

Steelers First TD Tips

Najee Harris: 10.6% probability
Jaylen Warren: 8.4% probability
George Pickens: 5.6% probability
Diontae Johnson: 4.5% probability
Pat Freiermuth: 3.6% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Tips

Bills Anytime TD Tips

Josh Allen: 63.7% probability
James Cook: 50.8% probability
Stefon Diggs: 36.9% probability
Dalton Kincaid: 26.3% probability
Khalil Shakir: 20.1% probability

Steelers Anytime TD Tips

Najee Harris: 41.2% probability
Jaylen Warren: 34.1% probability
George Pickens: 23.4% probability
Diontae Johnson: 20.6% probability
Pat Freiermuth: 15.2% probability

Bills-Steelers Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bills' Josh Allen is projected for 234 passing yards, while the Steelers' Mason Rudolph is expected to throw for 182 yards.

Bills Starting QB

Josh Allen: 234 projected passing yards

Steelers Starting QB

Mason Rudolph: 182 projected passing yards

Bills Rushing Yards

James Cook: 86 projected yards
Josh Allen: 44 projected yards
Ty Johnson: 12 projected yards

Steelers Rushing Yards

Najee Harris: 58 projected yards
Jaylen Warren: 45 projected yards
Mason Rudolph: 8 projected yards

Bills Receiving Yards

Stefon Diggs: 53 projected yards
Khalil Shakir: 39 projected yards
Dalton Kincaid: 37 projected yards
James Cook: 23 projected yards
Dawson Knox: 16 projected yards

Steelers Receiving Yards

George Pickens: 47 projected yards
Diontae Johnson: 39 projected yards
Pat Freiermuth: 32 projected yards
Jaylen Warren: 20 projected yards
Allen Robinson: 19 projected yards

Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Buffalo vs Pittsburgh match-up at Highmark Stadium.

As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every NFL game, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.

Bills vs Steelers: Preview

The game between the Bills and Steelers at Highmark Stadium is scheduled to commence at 8:30am AEDT on Tuesday.

Teams: Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Playoff Round: NFL Wild Card Weekend
Date: Tuesday 16 January 2024
Time: 8:30am AEDT
Venue: Highmark Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.

Our Buffalo vs Pittsburgh predictions are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our NFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.

If you decide to use our NFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.

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Ryan Leaver

Ryan Leaver is a respected journalist and lifelong sports fan who is widely regarded as one of Australia's most trusted sources for accurate and up-to-date information across various sports. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Journalism (Sport) from La Trobe University, which strengthens his credibility in the field. Ryan, who previously worked at Triple M, where he provided comprehensive coverage of the AFL and cricket, is renowned for his extensive knowledge and ability to deliver the latest insights.