Brisbane vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Finals Week 1 2024
Last updated: Sep 7, 2024, 9:30AM | Published: Sep 3, 2024, 7:02AM
Brisbane will take on Carlton in AFL Finals Week 1 action at The Gabba on Saturday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Brisbane vs Carlton game, as well as the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Utilising advanced machine learning and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Brisbane vs Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 71% chance of defeating the Blues at The Gabba.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.25, Carlton $4.15
- Line: Brisbane -24.5 ($1.91), Carlton +24.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 173.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.25 and Carlton at $4.15.
The Lions are 24.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Blues (+24.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 173.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (+24.5) are predicted to cover the line 64% of the time, while the 173.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 68% of the time.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Carlton at $4.15 with Bet365
- Line: Carlton +24.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 173.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
Our Brisbane vs Carlton betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and betting expertise to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our recommended option due to the 4.7% edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently on offer.
Making use of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to being profitable in the long run.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Carlton at The Gabba on Saturday is Brisbane winning 89-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full coverage of the Brisbane vs Carlton match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and free tips.
Our model updates regularly, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs Carlton match.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets to get betting tips for every AFL match, plus predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Essential Details
The AFL Finals clash between the Lions and Blues at The Gabba is scheduled to start at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Carlton predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, so that you can make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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