Brisbane vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Opening Round, 2024
Last updated: Mar 8, 2024, 8:33AM | Published: Mar 5, 2024, 3:29AM
Brisbane will face Carlton in AFL Opening Round action at The Gabba on Friday, commencing at 7:40pm AEDT.
Stats Insider's free betting tips for the Brisbane vs Carlton game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Brisbane vs Carlton
Based on state-of-the-art computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Friday's Brisbane-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 76% chance of beating the Blues at The Gabba.
More: Brisbane vs Carlton Match Centre
Brisbane vs Carlton: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at The Gabba are listed here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.35, Carlton $3.80
- Line: Brisbane -23.5 ($2.12), Carlton +23.5 ($1.84)
- Total (Over/Under 169.5 Points): Over $1.90, Under $2.02
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Brisbane at $1.35 and Carlton at $3.80.
The Lions are listed as 23.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $2.12 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Blues (+23.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.84.
The Over/Under for total points scored has been set at 169.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.90 and odds for the Under at $2.02.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Blues (+23.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 169.5 points has a 53% chance of staying Under.
More: AFL Fixture Difficulty 2024
Brisbane vs Carlton: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.35 with (76% probability)
- Line: Carlton +23.5 at $1.84 with Betfair (56% probability)
- Total Points: Under 169.5 at $2.02 with Betfair (53% probability)
Today's Brisbane vs Carlton predictions are based on world-class simulations and gambling experience to give you the best possible advice around the clock.
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Brisbane vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Carlton at The Gabba this Friday has Brisbane winning 93-74.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Brisbane vs Carlton on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Goal Scorers
Looking for Brisbane vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Joe Daniher is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs Carlton.
Daniher has a 7.1% chance of kicking the first goal at The Gabba, while the Lions star has an 88.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 7.1% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 6.3% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 5.6% probability
- Lincoln McCarthy: 4.2% probability
- Zac Bailey: 4.1% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 6.4% probability
- Harry McKay: 6.3% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 4.6% probability
- Matthew Owies: 4.3% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 2.8% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 88.0% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 84.8% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 78.7% probability
- Lincoln McCarthy: 72.6% probability
- Zac Bailey: 69.8% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 85.8% probability
- Harry McKay: 83.9% probability
- Orazio Fantasia: 71.5% probability
- Matthew Owies: 67.5% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 51.7% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs Carlton game at The Gabba.
As always, see Stats Insider's Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Brisbane vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Opening Round clash between the Lions and Blues at The Gabba is scheduled to start at 7:40pm AEDT on Friday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT) unless otherwise stated.
Our Brisbane vs Carlton predictions have been made thanks to 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of skilled data scientists and analysts. We use cutting-edge technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the knowledge you need to make informed decisions with confidence.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and keep track of your money. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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