Brisbane vs Carlton Prediction and Tips - AFL Preliminary Final 2023
Last updated: Sep 23, 2023, 7:10AM | Published: Sep 17, 2023, 11:41PM
Brisbane plays Carlton in AFL Preliminary Final action at The Gabba on Saturday, beginning at 5:15pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Brisbane vs Carlton, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured in this article.
More: Brownlow Predictor
Who Will Win: Brisbane vs Carlton
Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Saturday's Brisbane-Carlton AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model gives the Lions a 72% chance of winning against the Blues in their AFL preliminary final clash.
More: Brisbane vs Carlton Match Centre
Brisbane vs Carlton: Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at The Gabba are listed below:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.38, Carlton $3.55
- Line: Brisbane -19.5 ($1.87), Carlton +19.5 ($2.08)
- Total (Over/Under 170.5 Points): Over $1.96, Under $1.96
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Brisbane at $1.38 and Carlton at $3.55.
The Lions are listed as 19.5-point favourites against the Blues, with odds of $1.87 currently on offer at Betfair.
For the underdog Blues (+19.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $2.08.
The Over/Under for Brisbane vs Carlton sits at 170.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.96 and odds for the Under at $1.96.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Blues (+19.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 170.5-point Over/Under has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Brisbane vs Carlton: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Carlton at $3.55 with Betfair (0.3% edge)
- Line: Carlton +19.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (56% probability) 🔥
- Total Points: Under 170.5 at $1.96 with Betfair (54% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of our best tips for today across all sports.
Today's Brisbane vs Carlton betting tips are based on detailed modelling and wagering expertise to help you place more informed bets with your chosen online bookie.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Blues to win is our preferred option because of the edge identified when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to being profitable in the long run.
More: AFL Brownlow Predictor
Brisbane vs Carlton: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Carlton at The Gabba this Saturday has Brisbane winning 91-76.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Brisbane vs Carlton on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Brisbane vs Carlton: Goal Scorers
Are you looking for Brisbane vs Carlton goalscorer tips? The latest data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Joe Daniher is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs Carlton.
Daniher has an 8.4% chance of kicking the first goal at The Gabba, while the Lions star has a 92.7% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 8.4% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 6.8% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 5.6% probability
- Zac Bailey: 5.0% probability
- Lincoln McCarthy: 4.6% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 7.8% probability
- Harry McKay: 6.9% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 4.2% probability
- Jack Martin: 3.7% probability
- Patrick Cripps: 2.7% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 92.7% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 86.2% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 79.9% probability
- Zac Bailey: 73.9% probability
- Lincoln McCarthy: 69.1% probability
Carlton
- Charlie Curnow: 90.4% probability
- Harry McKay: 86.3% probability
- Jesse Motlop: 69.8% probability
- Jack Martin: 69.1% probability
- Matthew Cottrell: 51.1% probability
Our model updates frequently, so keep checking this article for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs Carlton game at The Gabba.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets to get the best tips for every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: Brownlow Predictor 2023
Brisbane vs Carlton: Preview
The AFL Preliminary Final clash between the Lions and Blues at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 5:15pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our predictions for Brisbane vs Carlton are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our predictions for betting purposes, it's important to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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