Brisbane vs Collingwood Prediction and Odds - AFL Round 4, 2023
Apr 3, 2023, 2:20AM
Brisbane squares off with Collingwood in AFL Round 4 action at The Gabba on Thursday, commencing at 7:35pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for Brisbane vs Collingwood, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed in this article.
Who will win? Brisbane vs Collingwood
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated Thursday's Brisbane-Collingwood AFL match 10,000 times.
Our leading predictive analytics model is unable to split the two teams, giving both Brisbane and Collingwood an equal 50% chance of winning in Round 4 of the AFL season.
More: Free Betting Analysis for Lions vs Magpies
Brisbane vs Collingwood Current Odds
The latest Betfair betting odds for Thursday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $2.04, Collingwood $1.94
- Line: Brisbane +0.5 ($2.00), Collingwood -0.5 ($1.98)
- Total (Over/Under 175.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.80
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Brisbane to win at $2.04 and Collingwood to win at $1.94.
The Lions are 0.5-point underdogs against the Magpies, with odds of $2.00 currently available at Betfair.
For the favourite Magpies (-0.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.98.
The Over/Under for Brisbane vs Collingwood has been set at 175.5 with Betfair, which currently has odds for the Over at $1.91 and odds for the Under at $1.80.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Lions (+0.5) have a 51% chance of covering the line, while the Over/Under total of 175.5 points has a 54% chance of staying Under.
More: Predictions for Every AFL Match
Brisbane vs Collingwood Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $2.04 with Betfair (50% probability)
- Line: Brisbane +0.5 at $2.00 with Betfair (51% probability)
- Total Points: Under 175.5 at $1.80 with Betfair (54% probability)
Stats Insider's Brisbane vs Collingwood betting tips are based on market-leading modelling and gambling expertise to help you place smarter bets with your chosen online bookie.
Brisbane vs Collingwood Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted score for Brisbane vs Collingwood at The Gabba this Thursday is Magpies 86-86 Lions.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
For more information, click or tap See Matchup.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Brisbane vs Collingwood on Thursday, including pre-match predictions, top betting tips, and live win probabilities.
Brisbane vs Collingwood Goal Scorers
Looking for Brisbane vs Collingwood goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Jack Gunston is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs Collingwood.
Gunston has a 6.8% chance of kicking the first goal at The Gabba, while the Lions star has an 85.0% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the game.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Scorer Tips
Brisbane
- Jack Gunston: 6.8% probability
- Joe Daniher: 6.1% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 5.3% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 5.1% probability
- Zac Bailey: 4.0% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 5.9% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 5.8% probability
- Ash Johnson: 5.0% probability
- Daniel McStay: 4.4% probability
- Bobby Hill: 3.9% probability
Anytime Goal Kicker Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 85.5% probability
- Jack Gunston: 85.0% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 80.3% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 77.7% probability
- Zac Bailey: 65.1% probability
Collingwood
- Brody Mihocek: 85.0% probability
- Jamie Elliott: 80.8% probability
- Ash Johnson: 75.9% probability
- Daniel McStay: 69.2% probability
- Reef McInnes: 67.3% probability
Our model updates regularly, so bookmark this page for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs Collingwood game at The Gabba.
As always, check out Stats Insider's Best Bets for betting tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2023
Brisbane vs Collingwood AFL 2023
The AFL Round 4 clash between the Lions and Magpies at The Gabba is scheduled to commence at 7:35pm AEST on Thursday.
- Game: Brisbane vs Collingwood
- Date: Thursday 6 April 2023
- Time: 7:35pm AEST
- Venue: The Gabba
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise noted.
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