Brisbane vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 3, 2025
Mar 24, 2025, 5:50AM
Brisbane will face Geelong in AFL Round 3 action at The Gabba on Saturday, commencing at 7:35pm AEDT.
This article features Stats Insider's prediction and tips for the Brisbane vs Geelong game, plus the latest betting odds.
Who Will Win?
Using trusted computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Saturday's Brisbane vs Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our independent predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 66% chance of defeating the Cats in Round 3 of the 2025 AFL season.
Brisbane vs Geelong: Odds
The current Bet365 betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown below:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.44, Geelong $2.90
- Line: Brisbane -14.5 ($1.91), Geelong +14.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 162.5 Points): Over $1.91, Under $1.91
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Bet365 currently has Brisbane at $1.44 and Geelong at $2.90.
The Lions are listed as 14.5-point favourites against the Cats, with odds of $1.91 available at Bet365.
For the underdog Cats (+14.5) to cover the line, Bet365 offers odds of $1.91.
The over/under for total points scored is set at 162.5 with Bet365, which has odds of $1.91 for the over and $1.91 for the under.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Cats (+14.5) are predicted to cover the line 54% of the time, while the 162.5-point over/under is expected to stay under 70% of the time.
Brisbane vs Geelong: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $2.90 with Bet365
- Line: Geelong +14.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
- Total Points: Under 162.5 at $1.91 with Bet365
If you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets for today across all sports.
Today's Brisbane vs Geelong best bets are based on complex simulations and wagering intelligence to provide you with the best possible advice around the clock.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cats to win is our recommended option because of the edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges seen here at Stats Insider is crucial to achieving long-term profitability.
Brisbane vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Geelong at The Gabba on Saturday is Brisbane winning 81-70.
This prediction is based on each team's average score from 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider provides full betting coverage of the Brisbane vs Geelong match on Saturday, including data-driven predictions and computer tips.
Remember, our model updates regularly, so refresh this page for the latest betting tips before the Brisbane vs Geelong match.
As always, see our Best Bets to get betting tips on every AFL match, as well as predictions for a wide range of other sports.
Brisbane vs Geelong: Essential Details
The AFL Round 3 clash between the Lions and Cats at The Gabba is scheduled to commence at 7:35pm AEDT on Saturday.
All dates and times in this article are in Australian Eastern Daylight Time (AEDT), unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
Our Brisbane vs Geelong predictions have been made after running 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, carefully curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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