Brisbane vs Geelong Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 6, 2024
Last updated: Apr 20, 2024, 9:02AM | Published: Apr 15, 2024, 9:17AM
Brisbane will sqaure off with Geelong in AFL Round 6 action at The Gabba on Saturday, commencing at 7:30pm AEST.
Stats Insider's best betting tips for the Brisbane vs Geelong game, as well as the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are featured below.
Who Will Win: Brisbane vs Geelong
Based on high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the result of Saturday's Brisbane-Geelong AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model currently gives the Lions a 58% chance of winning against the Cats at The Gabba.
More: Brisbane vs Geelong Match Centre
Brisbane vs Geelong: Odds
The current betting odds for Saturday's AFL clash at The Gabba are shown below:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.67, Geelong $2.46
- Line: Brisbane -10.5 ($2.04), Geelong +10.5 ($1.91)
- Total (Over/Under 161.5 Points): Over $2.12, Under $1.85
Odds are correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, TAB currently has Brisbane at $1.67 and Geelong at $2.46.
The Lions are 10.5-point favourites against the Cats, with odds of $2.04 currently on offer at TAB.
For the underdog Cats (+10.5) to cover the line, TAB currently has odds of $1.91.
The Over/Under for total points scored is set at 161.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the Over at $2.12 and odds for the Under at $1.85.
According to Stats Insider's analytics model, the Cats (+10.5) have a 56% chance of covering the line, while the 161.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of staying Under.
More: Best Bets Today for All Sports
Brisbane vs Geelong: Best Bets
- Head to Head: Geelong at $2.46 with (1.1% edge)
- Line: Geelong +10.5 at $1.91 with Betfair (56% probability)
- Total Points: Over 161.5 at $2.12 with Betfair (0.8% edge)
Stats Insider's Brisbane vs Geelong predictions are based on world-class modelling and betting intelligence to bring you the best possible advice every day of the year.
While the Lions have a higher chance of winning the game, betting on the Cats to win is our recommended option due to the 1.1% edge found when comparing our data-driven probabilities to the odds currently available.
Taking advantage of the edges published on Stats Insider is one of the keys to achieving long-term success as a bettor.
Furthermore, despite the Under being more likely to hit in this game, Over 161.5 is our best bet due to the better odds ($2.12) that are available from Betfair.
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Brisbane vs Geelong: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Geelong at The Gabba on Saturday has Brisbane winning 83-77.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full coverage of Brisbane vs Geelong on Saturday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live win probabilities.
Brisbane vs Geelong: Goal Scorers
Searching for Brisbane vs Geelong goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Joe Daniher is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs Geelong.
Daniher has an 8.2% chance of kicking the first goal at The Gabba, while the Lions star has an 88.3% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for the complete list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 8.2% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 7.1% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 5.8% probability
- Lincoln McCarthy: 5.2% probability
- Cam Rayner: 4.0% probability
Geelong
- Tom Hawkins: 6.9% probability
- Jeremy Cameron: 6.3% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 4.8% probability
- Oliver Henry: 4.0% probability
- Brad Close: 2.6% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 88.3% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 87.5% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 80.4% probability
- Lincoln McCarthy: 76.8% probability
- Cam Rayner: 65.2% probability
Geelong
- Tom Hawkins: 85.8% probability
- Jeremy Cameron: 84.0% probability
- Tyson Stengle: 72.6% probability
- Oliver Henry: 69.9% probability
- Oliver Dempsey: 53.8% probability
Our model updates frequently, so refresh this article for the latest betting analysis before the Brisbane vs Geelong game at The Gabba.
As always, see our Best Bets for the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Brisbane vs Geelong: Preview
The AFL Round 6 clash between the Lions and Cats at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 7:30pm AEST on Saturday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST) unless otherwise stated.
Our Brisbane vs Geelong predictions have been made based on 10,000 data-driven simulations of the game, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are accurate and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you choose to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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