Brisbane vs Melbourne Prediction and Tips - AFL Round 16, 2024
Last updated: Jun 28, 2024, 9:34AM | Published: Jun 23, 2024, 11:57PM
Brisbane will sqaure off with Melbourne in AFL Round 16 action at The Gabba on Friday, beginning at 7:40pm AEST.
Stats Insider's top betting tips for the Brisbane vs Melbourne game, plus the latest betting odds and goalscorer tips, are detailed below.
Who Will Win: Brisbane vs Melbourne
Using high-tech computer power and data, Stats Insider has simulated the outcome of Friday's Brisbane-Melbourne AFL match 10,000 times.
Our proven predictive analytics model gives the Lions an 87% chance of winning against the Demons at The Gabba.
More: Brisbane vs Melbourne Match Centre
Brisbane vs Melbourne: Odds
The latest betting odds for Friday's AFL clash at The Gabba are listed here:
- Head to Head: Brisbane $1.22, Melbourne $5.50
- Line: Brisbane -34.5 ($2.12), Melbourne +34.5 ($1.87)
- Total (Over/Under 168.5 Points): Over $2.08, Under $1.91
Odds via Betfair are correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Looking at the latest head-to-head odds, Betfair currently has Brisbane at $1.22 and Melbourne at $5.50.
The Lions are listed as 34.5-point favourites against the Demons, with odds of $2.12 currently available at Betfair.
For the underdog Demons (+34.5) to cover the line, Betfair currently has odds of $1.87.
The over/under for Brisbane vs Melbourne has been set at 168.5 with TAB, which currently has odds for the over at $2.08 and odds for the under at $1.91.
According to Stats Insider's model, the Demons (+34.5) have a 54% chance of covering the line, while the over/under total of 168.5 points is considered an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
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Brisbane vs Melbourne: Betting Tips
- Head to Head: Brisbane at $1.22 with Betfair (87% probability) 🔥
- Line: Melbourne +34.5 at $1.87 with Betfair (54% probability)
- Total Points: Over 168.5 at $2.08 with Betfair (50% probability)
If you see a 🔥, that means you've found one of Stats Insider's best tips of the day across all sports.
These Brisbane vs Melbourne predictions are based on detailed modelling and gambling expertise to help you place better bets with your chosen online bookie.
Brisbane vs Melbourne: Prediction
Stats Insider's predicted final score for Brisbane vs Melbourne at The Gabba on Friday has Brisbane winning 99-68.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Stats Insider has full betting coverage of Brisbane vs Melbourne on Friday, including pre-match predictions, expert tips, and live scores.
Brisbane vs Melbourne: Goal Kickers
Are you looking for Brisbane vs Melbourne goal kicker tips? The data is in.
According to Stats Insider, Brisbane's Joe Daniher is the most likely player to kick the first goal in Brisbane vs Melbourne.
Daniher has a 9.6% chance of kicking the first goal at The Gabba, while the Lions star has a 94.1% chance of kicking a goal at any time during the match.
Scroll down for our full list of first goalscorer and anytime goalscorer probabilities.
First Goal Kicker Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 9.6% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 7.4% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 6.5% probability
- Logan Morris: 4.8% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 3.9% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 5.5% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 4.8% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 4.5% probability
- Harrison Petty: 2.9% probability
- Kade Chandler: 2.5% probability
Anytime Goal Scorer Tips
Brisbane
- Joe Daniher: 94.1% probability
- Charlie Cameron: 87.1% probability
- Eric Hipwood: 85.1% probability
- Logan Morris: 72.8% probability
- Kai Lohmann: 66.9% probability
Melbourne
- Bayley Fritsch: 82.1% probability
- Kysaiah Pickett: 75.2% probability
- Jacob van Rooyen: 70.2% probability
- Harrison Petty: 54.4% probability
- Kade Chandler: 48.8% probability
Remember, our model updates regularly, so bookmark this article for the latest betting predictions before the Brisbane vs Melbourne game at The Gabba.
As always, check out our Best Bets to get the best tips on every AFL match, plus a host of other sports that we offer predictions on.
More: AFL Player Ratings 2024
Brisbane vs Melbourne: Preview
The AFL Round 16 clash between the Lions and Demons at The Gabba is scheduled to begin at 7:40pm AEST on Friday.
All dates and times mentioned in this article are in Australian Eastern Standard Time (AEST), unless otherwise noted.
Our Brisbane vs Melbourne predictions are the result of 10,000 data-driven simulations of the match, all curated by our team of expert data scientists and analysts. We use the latest in predictive analytics technology and machine learning to ensure our AFL tips are trustworthy and reliable, giving you the confidence to make informed decisions.
If you decide to use our AFL predictions for betting purposes, it's crucial to gamble responsibly and know when to stop. For free and confidential support, call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.
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